Arizona State vs. Arizona fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 24
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Arizona State (6-5) vs. Arizona (5-6) Game Preview
One Reason Why Arizona State Will Win
Can you stop Arizona from running the ball?
Washington State was able to do that by coming up with lots and lots and lots of points to turn the Wildcats into a pass-only attack, but that was all started by getting the defense off the field.
The Arizona running game is devastating when it takes over, going 4-1 this season when coming up with 200 yards or more. Hold JJ Taylor, Khalil Tate and company to under 200? 1-5.
The Wildcats simply get into a better flow and everything works when they’re running wild, but the Arizona State defensive front is nasty enough to keep that from happening. It’s great at getting into the backfield, and it’s not getting ripped up by anyone’s ground attack – for the most part.
Oregon State was able to go off in an ASU win, but San Diego State’s running game took over in an early-season loss. Those were the only two times the Sun Devils gave up over 200 yards.
ASU will be fine against the run, and it’ll win the turnover battle. It only lost it once this year – the three giveaways were responsible for the loss to Stanford – leading the Pac-12 in turnovers.
Speaking of running games …
One Reason Why Arizona Will Win
Stop Eno Benjamin, stop Arizona State.
The stats are a bit skewed because Washington State throws the ball, but for the most part, the Wildcat run defense has been solid over the second half of the season.
Utah, Houston and USC all went off in the three times UofA gave up 200 rushing yards – all losses – but the D was able to stuff Oregon and Colorado, and it’s been able to get games into shootouts and avoid letting offense pound away.
That comes from getting up and getting the offense going, and that’s what has to happen. ASU is 5-0 when running for 200 yards or more, with the Michigan State game in Week 2 – going against what turned out to be the nation’s top run D – the only time the team won when not running well.
What’s Going To Happen
Who’s going to do a better job running the ball?
If it’s possible … both of them?
Tate will hit on a few home runs to open things up, and the running backs will do the rest for both sides.
Taylor will come up with his fourth 100-yard day in five games for the Cats, and Tate will take off even more than he has for most of the year. But Benjamin will have his day, too, rushing for over 100 for the eighth time in nine games.
It’s the beginning of the new chapter of the rivalry, with Arizona State getting a chance to keep Arizona out of a bowl game, and Arizona getting its shot to make up for last year’s loss.
At home, with the bowl on the line, Arizona will be a bit better at moving the chains and will get a wee bit stronger a game out of the offensive line.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Arizona 34, Arizona State 31
Line: Arizona State -2, o/u: 64.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Must See Rating: 4
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