1. We’ve Got Our College Football Playoff Pecking Order
It was easy to see this coming from a mile away, but the College Football Playoff committee confirmed its first rankings with the second go-round.
Now we know. Based on what’s ahead for each of the top teams, the three teams that almost 100% control their own destinies are Alabama and Clemson. If those two win out, that’s your top two in the CFP no matter what.
Let’s put Notre Dame in the 95% sure category if it wins out.
The only possible hesitation might be if Georgia wins out and Alabama is 12-1 – put both of them in – and the committee falls in love with Oklahoma after it beats West Virginia twice. Or, maybe the CFP decides that Michigan is more deserving after finishing up with a dominant wins over Wisconsin, Michigan State, Penn State – and if it happens – Ohio State, and with a Big Ten championship, is overcome the Week 1 head-to-head factor.
But for now, assume that 12-0 Notre Dame gets in.
Michigan’s concern is Georgia.
If the Wolverines win out, they’re in if Notre Dame loses once, and then there’s no problem. They’re also in if Georgia loses once more along the way, including in the SEC Championship to Alabama.
However, if Georgia beats Bama and is 12-1, and Bama is 12-1, and Clemson and Notre Dame are unbeaten, Michigan is going to be out.
Oklahoma is going to win out and get help, and Washington State is going to need a WHOLE lot of things break its way.
Ohio State has enough good games left to move up past the Sooners – or West Virginia – and Cougars.