Washington vs. Oregon fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 13
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Washington (5-1) vs. Oregon (4-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Washington Will Win
On the plus side to having so many problems making things easy is the way the team seems able to figure out how to pull off wins.
Outside of the 35-7 win over BYU, everything has been a fight so far, but the Huskies are battle tested.
The defense has been terrific so far against the run, and no one’s passing win any regularity. This might not be the brick wall of a defense it’s been at times over the last few seasons under Chris Petersen, but it’s been strong enough to not have to take any chances offensively.
However, the big plays are starting to come from the passing game.
That was a missing piece over the first part of the season, but now Jake Browning is cranking up more yards and deep balls, averaging over ten yards per throw over the last two games after averaging around eight in the first four.
One Reason Why Oregon Will Win
Justin Herbert is playing like the possible first overall pick in the draft.
When the team has needed him over the last few weeks, he’s been amazing, connecting on 76% of his passes in Pac-12 play, averaging well over ten yards per throw as the offense keeps on rolling.
As amazing as the Washington defense has been, it doesn’t generate enough pressure. It doesn’t get into the backfield – partly by design – and it doesn’t come up with sacks. Against Herbert, he’ll pick defenses apart if he gets any sort of time he gets to work.
The Washington defense is giving everyone too much time, and it’s getting picked apart.
When UCLA is connecting on over 70% of its passes for 272 yards, there’s an issue.
The other side of the ball for Oregon is doing a great job, too.
The run D was hit hard by Cal last week, but the secondary made up for it with four picks. And now the Ducks have come up with ten takeaways on the year, with the Stanford meltdown the only time they’ve been on the downside of the turnover margin.
As strong as the Huskies are on D, they’re not doing enough to take the ball away.
What’s Going To Happen
Washington has a long way to go to seal up the Pac-12 North with a win, but it can take a massive step forward. If Oregon loses, that’s not it, but … that’s sort of it unless it gets a whole lot of help.
It’s one of the underappreciated hatred games in college football, and the atmosphere will reflect it. The crowd will be going off from the start, and Oregon will come out playing fast and effective.
The Washington defense is better than Oregon’s, but the Ducks will get to Browning.
The defensive intensity will be enough to keep the Husky offense from going on long marches, and Herbert and the offense will move the chains enough to get up and take control in the third quarter.
Browning will mount a comeback in the fourth, but just when it seems like Oregon is going to choke away another game like it did against Stanford … Herbert will come through with the two throws needed to move the chains and seal the breakthrough win.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oregon 27, Washington 24
Line: Washington -3, o/u: 57.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Must See Rating: 4.5
5: Bad Times at the El Royale