Virginia vs. Duke fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 20
Game Time: 12:30 ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Network: ACC Network
Virginia (4-2) vs. Duke (5-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Virginia Will Win
The secondary continues to be terrific, highlighted by out-Turnover Chaining Miami in the 16-13 win last week.
Swarming, the secondary is able to come up with picks in bunches, coming up with two in two other games and three against the Hurricanes. NC State’s Ryan Finley come up with three touchdowns and a big performance a few weeks ago, but that’s been about it. Everyone else has sputtered a bit.
The Cavalier safety tandem of Juan Thornhill and Joey Blount have been terrific – Thornhill came ups with two key interceptions against the Canes.
More than anything else, Virginia is able to win and stay in games by controlling the clock and the tempo – it’s great at dominating the time of possession battle. Duke doesn’t control the clock, and it’s not for a lack of trying – it’s just not all that great at moving the chains.
One Reason Why Duke Will Win
Virginia QB Bryce Perkins has been fine overall, and he’s been the catalyst for the offense, but he’s also scuffling a bit lately with five interception in the last two games, throwing three picks and just 92 yards against Miami.
The Duke secondary hasn’t been great, but outside of a big problem against Virginia Tech, it’s been strong overall. It’s been able to keep everyone but the Hokies to under a 60% completion rate – Perkins isn’t going to turn into Drew Brees this week.
On the other side, the return of QB Daniel Jones has been a plus – he played well in the loss to Virginia Tech, and was strong in last week’s win over Georgia Tech.
He and the offense don’t have a problem with turnovers, and overall, there won’t be a whole slew of mistakes for the middling Cavalier offense to capitalize on.
What’s Going To Happen
The Duke defense will keep Virginia’s offense from going off in what should be a tight, low-scoring battle.
The Cavaliers will slow this down, Duke will be just fine with the pace, and in the end, Jones will come through with the two touchdown drives needed to overcome a rough first half.
The team that takes the turnover margin wins. The Blue Devils will be +1.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Duke 23, Virginia 17
Line: Duke -7, o/u: 44.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 3
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