Texas vs. Oklahoma State fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 27
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Texas (6-1) vs. Oklahoma State (4-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Texas Will Win
Oklahoma State will have a hard time scoring if it doesn’t have the ball.
The Cowboys have a good enough offense and passing attack to give Texas a hard time, but they don’t have their O on the field enough. The run defense got hammered by Kansas State two weeks ago, and that helped the Wildcats have the ball for almost 38 minutes.
The Texas Tech game was even uglier, losing 41-17 in Stillwater. The Red Raiders and the ball for over 41 minutes.
Kansas State owned the game on the ground, and Texas Tech did it with a passing game, but it was balanced.
Texas is fantastic and controlling the clock, keeping the ball an average 33 minutes per game.
The Longhorns aren’t turning the ball over with just three giveaways after the opener against Maryland. The lines are playing well, the offensive line is pounding away with an effective ground game – even if the big numbers aren’t there – and they’re going to be strong at keeping the Cowboys from getting into any sort of an offensive rhytmn.
One Reason Why Oklahoma State Will Win
Yeah, Texas is winning, and it rose up and rocked against Oklahoma, but …
Baylor had a throw into the end zone on the final play to beat the Longhorns. Kansas State played tough in a 19-14 game, and all season long, there’s been tight game after tight game that could’ve gone either way.
So far, Texas has played three games away from Austin. It lost the neutral site date at Maryland, struggled in the one true road date at Kansas State, and had the fight with Oklahoma in Dallas.
This is the second road game for the Longhorns, and while OSU hasn’t been all that great at home, with two weeks off to get ready and prepare, it’s overdue for a great performance.
The D leads the Big 12 in sacks – it’s been consistently strong, going 3-0 when generating five sacks or more – and it’s been great at living behind the line against the run.
The Texas offensive line has been good, but it gives up sacks. After two weeks off, QB Sam Ehlinger is expected to be fine and back after suffering a shoulder sprain, but he’s not going to be 100%. There’s a problem if the Cowboys get to him early on.
What’s Going To Happen
The Oklahoma State offense has been good enough, but losing three games in the last four has taken it off the radar. It’s not going to suddenly go off against a strong Texas defense that’s kept everyone but Oklahoma to 17 points or fewer in four of the last five games.
This has the potential to get into a bit of a shootout if Taylor Cornelius can get hot right away. When he hits at least 50% of his passes, Oklahoma State is 4-1, with the one loss a shootout with Iowa State. The other two losses? He was under 50%.
Only Kansas State connected on fewer than half of its passes against Texas, and that was a fight.
Oklahoma State is way overdue. It’s defense isn’t going to be a rock, but it’ll get behind the line enough to be a bother. The Cowboy offense will get up early, Texas will come back, but there will be just enough offensive balance – and a great gameplan after two weeks off – to pull off the big upset and get the first giant win this season.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oklahoma State 34, Texas 31
Line: Texas -3.5, o/u: 59.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
Must See Rating: 3.5
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