Texas vs. Baylor fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 13
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Texas (5-1) vs. Baylor (4-2) Game Preview
One Reason Why Baylor Will Win
Get the passing game going right away.
Texas has been getting nastier and nastier defensive front – the Bear running game isn’t good enough to generate too much of a consistent push – but the BU passing attack has been consistently solid so far.
Oddly enough, the two worst passing days came against Kansas and Kansas State – but this week, the pressure has to be on from the start.
Texas has been terrific at powering away with its ground game – the line dominated Oklahoma in the second half – and that’s where Baylor’s style has to be a differentiating factor.
This isn’t the most physical of teams, but the Bears are great at converting third down chances and controlling the clock for long stretches of time. They have to keep Sam Ehlinger and company off the field.
This has to be more of a grind than shootout.
One Reason Why Texas Will Win
Other than Notre Dame and Alabama at the immediate moment, is there any team that’s feeling it more than Texas right now?
It’s on a five-game winning streak, it rolled by TCU and USC, and beat Oklahoma. And now, the College Football Playoff is on the table by winning out.
And it all starts by being tougher on the lines, tackling well, and getting a Heisman-caliber effort out of Sam Ehlinger, throwing for a season-high 314 yards against Oklahoma after hitting 81% of his throws against Kansas State.
Throw in his Tebow-like running ability on hard downs – with three scores against the Sooners – and he’s ben terrific.
There’s a passing attack now to offset the mediocre ground game, and the defense is hitting.
Baylor will have to be perfect, and with penalties, pass protection, and third down defense all a problem, it won’t be.
What’s Going To Happen
If it looks like a let down, and smells like a let down …
Baylor is just funky-good enough to muck it up and keep the score low – sort of like Kansas State did in a 19-14 loss to the Longhorns – and remember, it’s not like Texas has been consistently awesome.
It wasn’t great against Tulsa and sputtered a bit with the Wildcats in Manhattan. It’s got two weeks off, and then a trip to Oklahoma State and West Virginia at home after this. It’ll take care of business with a strong defensive effort, but it’s not going to be a walk in the park.
There won’t be a lot of drama, though. The Longhorns will score right away and maintain the lead throughout. But Baylor will hang around for a full four quarters.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Texas 30, Baylor 17
Line: Baylor -14, o/u: 60.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 3
5: Bad Times at the El Royale