Texas Tech vs. TCU fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Thursday, October 11
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Texas Tech (3-2) vs. TCU (3-2) Game Preview
One Reason Why Texas Tech Will Win
So … Alan Bowman is really going to play after suffering a collapsed young? After two weeks off following the loss to West Virginia – completing just 9-of-20 passes – he’s cleared to play. But no matter who’s under center, the Texas Tech passing game continues to keep things moving.
Bowman has been terrific when right – hitting Houston for 605 yards and five scores and with 397 yards and two touchdowns against Oklahoma State – and Jett Duffey proved he could be a differentiating factor with his mobility.
TCU has to prepare for all of it.
Even with the high-tempo, high-powered passing style, Texas Tech leads the Big 12 in time of possession, it leads the nation in total offense, and it leads the conference in scoring.
And TCU has to keep up. And not turn the ball over.
The Horned Frogs are last in the Big 12 in turnover margin and giveaways, turning it over 12 times, all in the last four games. The Red Raiders will get their chances, and they have the pop to produce.
One Reason Why TCU Will Win
The secondary might not pick off passes – it has yet to come up with an interception against an FBS team – but the pass defense has been solid against everyone but Ohio State in the clutch and on a few key plays against Texas.
And now Gary Patterson has had two weeks to figure out how to slow down the Red Raider machine.
Texas Tech has had its moments over the years against the Horned Frogs, but last year’s TCU team held the O to three points. That’s not going to happen again, but his defense will let the passes be completed, and force the stops from there. Don’t expect a slew of yards after the catch.
TCU hasn’t been a brick wall, but it still has the No. 1 defense in the Big 12. Even with the lack of picks, it’s tops in the conference in pass efficiency defense – it’ll give up the dinks and dunks, but won’t get hit by a slew of big plays, especially on third downs.
What’s Going To Happen
No one has stepped up and slugged Texas Tech’s run defense in the mouth.
Oklahoma State didn’t quite commit to the run after getting down, but it was effective. Ole Miss averaged over seven yards per carry, but that game was about bombing away.
This will be the game for Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua to take over.
The Horned Frogs haven’t been able to grind it out in Big 12 play after having success early on in the year – even against Ohio State – and now they’ll do the job of keeping the Red Raider offense off the field field with a slew of long, grinding drives.
America will tune in on Thursday night to see a shootout, and they’ll get three yards and a cloud of dust. It’ll be effective, though, for TCU.
Fearless Prediction & Line
TCU 31, Texas Tech 23
Line: TCU -7, o/u: 61
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
Must See Rating: 3
5: Bad Times at the El Royale