Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 27
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
Texas A&M (5-2) vs. Mississippi State (4-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Texas A&M Will Win
Mississippi State just can’t throw.
For all of the thoughts that Nick Fitzgerald would grow into a more well-rounded quarterback and a big-time passer once he came back healthy into the new offense … no.
He hasn’t hit 100 yards through the air in any of the last three games, and last week against LSU he completed just 8-of-24 passes for 59 yards with four picks in the 19-3 loss.
The Texas A&M run defense has been fantastic all season long.
Thanks to the big plays in the backfield time and again, the Aggies have yet to allow more than 125 rushing yards, and giving up 76 yards or fewer in each of its last three games.
Kentucky and Benny Snell weren’t able to get going in the team’s only loss – the Cats ran for just 70 yards – and even Alabama was held to 109 yards sand two scores.
Of course Mississippi State coaches know this already, but theres not a lot it can do about it. A&M is amazing at controlling the clock and getting the defense off the field. Get up early, make Fitzgerald throw, and bad things will happen.
One Reason Why Mississippi State Will Win
The Bulldogs can play a little bit of defense, too.
No, there might not be a big-time passing game to the attack, but the Bulldogs are great at coming up with third down stops – it’s tenth in the nation, but A&M is tops in the conference – and the D leads the SEC in yards allowed.
It’s not Alabama, LSU, Florida or Georgia. Mississippi State gives up just 282 yards per game, doesn’t turn the ball over, and has the defensive front that can blast away on okay offensive lines.
Texas A&M does a whole lot of things well, but it has a hard time in pass protection. The Aggies want to try balancing out the offense and getting Kellen Mond going to control the game from the start. MSU’s defensive front is good enough to keep that from happening.
Even with all of the problems over the last few weeks, the Bulldogs have allowed more than 19 points just once, in the 28-7 loss to Kentucky.
Keep the game close, the score low, and hope it gets the right breaks in the fourth quarter. And hope Fitzgerald goes off.
What’s Going To Happen
With two weeks off to prepare, the rested Aggies will be the fresher of the two teams – duh. This will make a big deal on defense, as the plan will be to assume it’ll be Fitzgerald running or bust, even though MSU head coach Joe Moorhead will come up with a few wrinkles to try jump-starting the machine.
It won’t work.
It’ll be a tough slugfest with the two defensive lines dominating, but the A&M offense will have a few more wrinkles. MSU might try new things, but they won’t work.
The Bulldog offense that has scored seven points or fewer in three of the last four games still won’t quite work.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Texas A&M 20, Mississippi State 17
Line: Mississippi State -2.5, o/u: 45.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
Must See Rating: 3
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