LINE: Michigan -10, o/u: 49
ATS PICK: Wisconsin
On paper, everything points to Michigan coming up with a big day.
The passing game is starting to click, Shea Patterson is playing well, the running game is happening, and the Wisconsin defense has been way too shaky.
And then there’s the secondary.
Already mediocre, it has to deal with injuries, a first half suspension, and the fact that it’s just not good at covering receivers. This is the game the Michigan offense could and should break out with a statement moment.
But here’s the problem. 2015 Alabama 35, Wisconsin 17 – and that game was a battle until Derrick Henry ripped off a late run. The Crimson Tide went on to win the national title.
2014 Big Ten Championship. Ohio State 59, Wisconsin 0. The Buckeyes went on to win the national title.
The 2014 Capital One Bowl. South Carolina scored late for a 34-24 win.
Those three are the only games Wisconsin has lost by double digits going back to a 34-24 loss at Michigan State back on October 2nd, 2010, and that Badger team ripped through everything else in its path on the way to the Rose Bowl.
Everything else is still there, from the kicking game, to the O line, to Jonathan Taylor, to the veteran quarterback, to the defensive front. Michigan could and should be strong enough to pull this off, but by ten?
If it happens, accept that you were dealing with historical factors bigger than yourself.