Penn State vs. Michigan fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 3
Game Time: 3:45 ET
Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Penn State (6-2) vs. Michigan (7-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Penn State Will Win
The pass rush will be a pain in the butt from the start.
Yeah, Shea Patterson has been a huge step up for the Wolverine offense so far, and he’s been able to keep the mistakes to a bare minimum, but he hasn’t been under a whole lot of pressure so far.
Wisconsin doesn’t generate too much of a pass rush, and Michigan State didn’t do too much to bother him.
Penn State is going to be in his face, and it’ll make just enough plays behind the line to be a problem.
The pass defense will give up yards, but it’s been tough when it comes to letting quarterbacks get into a groove. Michigan State’s Brian Lewerke was able to come through late, but he struggled all game long – he only completed 47% of his passes.
The Nittany Lions bothered Iowa’s Nate Stanley last week – the Hawkeye quarterbacks combined to complete just 38% of their throws.
Get a big day from the pass defense, tilt the field with the great punting game, and hope for Trace McSorley to do just enough when needed to hold up against the great Michigan D. In a tight game, the pressure is all on the other side.
One Reason Why Michigan Will Win
Wisconsin might not have done anything against Northwestern, but before that, Alex Hornibrook was able to go against Michigan – and the passing game didn’t go anywhere.
Lewerke hurt his shoulder against Michigan – but first, the passing game didn’t go anywhere.
Those are two veteran, restaurant-quality Big Ten quarterbacks who looked and played like they were walking against a 95 mile-per-hour wind gust in their faces when dealing with the Michigan defense.
Patterson and the improved offense might be getting most of the publicity – mainly because Michigan isn’t awful anymore offensively – but the defense is No. 1 in the nation, No. 1 against the pass, No. 1 in pass efficiency defense, and ninth against the run.
How bad have things been for opposing quarterbacks? Only one team – SMU – has thrown for more than 175 yards, and four of the last five offenses have finished with 100 yards or fewer.
Okay, Mr. McSorley. Your table is ready.
What’s Going To Happen
Penn State obliterated Michigan last season in Happy Valley, but this is a different Wolverine squad.
It’s been on a mission with a defense that’s showing no signs of giving up a thing.
So far this season, the Wolverines allowed one big touchdown pass against Notre Dame. In terms of meaningful points, that’s been about it.
McSorley is a baller, and the Nittany Lions have the defense to keep this from getting out of hand, but this is a far, far different Michigan team.
The defense will get it done.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Michigan 30, Penn State 16
Line: Michigan -10.5, o/u: 52.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
Must See Rating: 4.5
5: Midterm election coverage next Tuesday night
1: Maryland press conference