The Path to the College Football Playoff: The path has cleared up nicely. Now, even if Notre Dame goes unbeaten, and even if Alabama and Clemson are locks, Oklahoma will almost certainly be in as no worse than the No. 4 seed by winning out – no matter what Ohio State does.
Win out, and that close call blip against Texas – which looks a LOT better than Ohio State’s loss to Purdue – won’t matter.
What Will Happen: The Sooners will survive shootouts against Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, and West Virginia, and it’ll slip past either the Mountaineers or Longhorns to make it two years in a row for Lincoln Riley and the College Football Playoff.
West Virginia (6-1)
The Path to the College Football Playoff: Everything is back on track for the College Football Playoff dream after beating Baylor 58-14. The problem continues to be the missed game against NC State. That means the Mountaineers – if they win out – will only have 12 wins to go along with the blowout loss at Iowa State.
However, if the Mountaineers are able to get through its brutal November and win the Big 12 title without a blip – meaning it’ll have to beat Oklahoma, most likely, twice and take care of Texas and Oklahoma State on the road – and the CFP committee will fall in love.
What Will Happen: They’re good, but they’re not beating Oklahoma twice, and they could drop the date at Texas, too. The College Football Playoff is, of course, on the table, but the more realistic dream is the Sugar Bowl.