Oregon vs. Arizona fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 27
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET
Venue: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Oregon (5-2) vs. Arizona (3-5) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oregon Will Win
Is Arizona going with the injured Khalil Tate and quarterback, or the ineffective Rhett Rodriguez? Oregon doesn’t have those concerns.
Justin Hebert hasn’t been bombing away quite as much over the last two weeks – the big plays haven’t been there against Washington and Washington State – but he’s been steady, and he’s been mistake free, with no picks in the last three games.
Against the Arizona secondary, he just needs a little bit of time, and he’ll throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns. And why? Because that’s what quarterbacks do against the Arizona secondary.
The combination of Wilton Speight and Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for over 300 yards and three scores in last week’s UCLA win. Utah’s Tyler Huntley went off the week before.
Even though there’s a decent pass rush, the defense just can’t seem to get off the field in key spots lately.
The bigger problem for Arizona? The Oregon run defense has been solid. It’s not quite a brick wall, but it’s been tough, and it’s been effective. Considering the problems at quarterback, the Cats have to run well at home.
One Reason Why Arizona Will Win
There really are some good parts on this Arizona team. Kevin Sumlin just hasn’t been able to put them all together yet.
The offensive line that’s been banged up from the start has managed to do a nice job of keeping defenses out of the backfield.
There actually is a little bit of a downfield passing game at times – the Cats have thrown for 200 yards or more in three of the last four games – and the offense really does pile up yards,
More than anything else, the defense has to take the ball away.
The team stayed alive against USC by recovering three fumbles, and it beat Cal with four takeaways. The offense should be able to keep pace if this turns out to be a bit of a track meet, but to pull this off, Arizona has to be at least +2 in the turnover margin.
Oregon isn’t turning the ball over lately. Arizona has to change that.
What’s Going To Happen
Arizona should be pluckier than you might think.
There might be a whole host of problems, and the team hasn’t come up with the same performance twice in a row, but this is Oregon’s third road game in four dates, and it’s coming off of tough, emotional battles with Washington and Washington State.
There’s a good chance this Duck team plays a little fried.
Even so, Herbert will be too good, the Oregon lines will control the game, and it’ll be a workmanlike win – even if the two teams put up big yards. It’ll take a late score to finally put this out of reach.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oregon 34, Arizona 24
Line: Oregon -9.5, o/u: 65
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 3
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