Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 3
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Oklahoma (7-1) vs. Texas Tech (5-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oklahoma Will Win
You can’t beat Oklahoma in a shootout.
Texas did it, but it did it with power, ball control and defense. If Texas Tech cranks up the offense in a track meet, good … luck.
The Red Raider secondary that has had a few nice games here and there is giving up 283 yards per game and is struggling with efficient passers.
Enter Kyler Murray, who is getting better and better each week, completing 79% of his throws with two straight 19-of-24 performances over the last two weeks, and now he’s on a deadly clip with 28 touchdown passes and just three picks on the year.
He’s in an unshakable groove.
Quarterback have failed to hit half of their passes over the last two weeks against the Red Raiders, but the big plays continue to be there. On the year, Texas Tech is 5-0 when opposing passing game averaged under nine yards per pass, and 0-3 when offenses connect on more than nine per throw.
Murray is averaging 12.7 yards per pass and was under nine yards just once this year – connecting on 8.9 yards per throw in the win over TCU.
One Reason Why Texas Tech Will Win
The Texas Tech defense isn’t as bad as the raw pass D numbers might appear to be.
Overall, the Red Raiders lead the Big 12 in third down stops, and in a key to this game, they continue to be great at controlling the clock and the tempo.
Oklahoma doesn’t need a whole lot of time to operate, and it can score in a hiccup, but Texas Tech donating the time of possession is a must.
Texas Tech’s O should have the ball for around 35 minutes, and it has to own third downs defensively and has to get Alan Bowman hot right away.
Yeah, it’s next to impossible to beat Oklahoma in a shootout and keep up in a big-play-for-big-play game, but Texas Tech and Bowman are good enough to give it a shot.
Since coming back from his partially collapsed lung injury, he’s thrown for 731 yards and four scores. He’s given away four picks, but the passing game is moving.
Against a leaky OU secondary, he can’t throw picks, has to keep the chains moving, and he has to match Murray yard for yard, even if the big plays aren’t there like the Sooners will enjoy.
What’s Going To Happen
You know how sometimes teams with high-powered offenses disappoint and don’t rock like you’d like them to?
Yeah … not this week.
The two offenses will go off from the start with Oklahoma hitting home runs and Texas Tech connecting on just enough stand up doubles to stay alive.
But the Sooners are just too powerful and too relentless. It’s going to be one of those rare games that Texas Tech just won’t have what it takes to keep up.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oklahoma 48, Texas Tech 38
Line: Oklahoma -13.5, o/u: 77.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 4
5: Midterm election coverage next Tuesday night
1: Maryland press conference