Oklahoma vs. Texas fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 6
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX
Oklahoma (5-0) vs. Texas (4-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Oklahoma Will Win
The offense is humming just fine, even without No. 6 slinging it around.
Texas has the Sooners in big, big trouble, and then Baker Mayfield all but cemented his Heisman resume with a great late drive to pull off the win in last year’s game. With the way Kyler Murray is playing, there might not be any late heroics needed this time around.
There’s no hotter quarterback in college football than Murray, who’s hitting 75% of his throws over the last three games, bombing away on Baylor with a 17-of-21 game for 432 yards and six scores, and he ran for 45 yards and a touchdown.
For all of the good things Texas has been doing, it hasn’t faced an offense with the weapons that Murray has to work with, and the Longhorn O doesn’t have the same explosion.
The UT defense is doing a great job, but there isn’t much of a pass rush. Murray gets the ball out of his hands in a hurry, but give him a little bit of time, let his receivers roam free, and then it’s uh-oh time.
The Longhorns came up with two sacks in last year’s game, but couldn’t get into the backfield in crunch time – and Mayfield threw for 344 yards and the win. This year’s secondary will give up the big plays, too.
One Reason Why Texas Will Win
So how is the Texas defense getting the job done? How has it kept USC, TCU and Kansas State all to just two or fewer touchdowns?
The run defense has been fantastic.
The Longhorns are tackling even better than they were last year, doing a night-and-day better job than they did in 2016. This isn’t necessarily a brick wall of a Texas defensive front – and again, it’s not getting into the backfield – but it’s holding its own, and it’s not giving up the big plays.
The run D has been good, and the secondary has been coming up with its share of picks with six so far – getting three against TCU – and with just one touchdown pass allowed against the Trojans, Horned Frogs and Wildcats.
The defense is playing well.
Oklahoma doesn’t care about the time of possession, and the defense doesn’t do much on third downs. Combine the two, and Texas should have a big, big edge in ball control. It’ll keep the tempo at its own pace.
What’s Going To Happen
It’s not going to disappoint.
The game has been decided by fewer than seven points over the last four meetings, and it’s about to happen again – with a similar playbook.
Texas will seem like it always has the ball, and it’ll be in control of the game, but it’ll get hit with just enough Oklahoma home runs to keep it close.
Texas will play really, really well, but it won’t be able to put the game away.
When pressed, Murray will overcome a frustrating first three quarters with two fourth quarter touchdown drives to take the game back. The Texas drives that ended with field goals instead of touchdowns will be haunting.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Oklahoma 30, Texas 27
Line: Oklahoma -7.5, o/u: 59
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Must See Rating: 5
5: First Man
1: Magnum P.I. (2018 version)