Missouri vs. Memphis fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 20
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
Network: SEC Network
Memphis (4-3) vs. Missouri (3-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Memphis Will Win
The Tigers have the nation’s top running back this season.
Darrell Henderson is having a special season, running for 1,133 yards and 13 touchdowns in just seven games, averaging 10.3 yards per carry with two 200-yard games and a 199-yard day against UCF last week.
The quarterback play hasn’t been bad, either, with Brady White throwing for 200 yards or more in every game but the road trip against Navy.
When White is on, Memphis has one of the nation’s most efficient and effective passing attack, and it’s able to move quickly and with the type of tempo Missouri used to have.
To pull this off, though, the AAC Tigers have to come up with a slew of takeaways and capitalize quickly. Mizzou should oblige – it has turned the ball over seven times in the last three games.
One Reason Why Missouri Will Win
White has to be accurate for this all to work. So far this season, when he has completed 70% or more of his passes, Memphis is 4-0. When he’s under the mark, the Tigers are 0-3.
So far this season, Mizzou has allowed passing games to connect on 70% of their throws just once, and they beat Purdue. Jake Fromm, Tua Tagovailoa, and Jake Bentley couldn’t get to 70%.
The other Tigers did a decent job against UCF’s McKenzie Milton last week, but they also gave up close to 300 yards and over ten yards per pass. So far, the secondary has faced a whole slew of teams that don’t throw the forward pass all that well – at least until dealing with Milton.
This is when Drew Lock has to get back on track. He sputtered and struggled against Alabama, but he wasn’t good against South Carolina or Georgia, either. This will be when he gets back to his 300-yard ways by controlling the clock, hitting his midrange passes, and keeping the O moving.
Memphis doesn’t do anything for the time of possession battle. Lock will make the other Tigers pay for that.
What’s Going To Happen
It’s the first game Memphis will play all year against a Power Five team, and it’ll show up strong.
Missouri will get out to a good start, but Memphis will get hot and keep up the pace. The difference will be Lock – he’ll finally break out of his funk now that he’s not going against an SEC defense.
The SEC Tigers will have issues against the Memphis balanced attack, and Darrell Henderson will come up with another 100-yard game, but it won’t be enough.
It’ll be a fun fight of a game, with Mizzou pulling away in the fourth quarter. It’s hardly going to be a breeze, though.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Missouri 38, Memphis 27
Line: Missouri -9.5, o/u: 74
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
Must See Rating: 3
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