LSU vs. Florida fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
LSU (5-0) vs. Florida (4-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Florida Will Win
The Gators don’t have the pop, and they don’t have the offense to keep up in a shootout, but they do have a defense that can hang punch for punch with what LSU’s will bring.
The Florida secondary is one of the best in the country – it’s allowing just 5.6 yards per throw and stuffed Mississippi State cold – and overall, the defense has been outstanding at coming up with takeaways.
There weren’t any in last week’s win over the Bulldogs, but with 14 on the year, and with the offense not killing itself with big mistakes, the defense is doing its job.
There isn’t any fun or gun with what the Gators do, but they can muck it up and they should be able to keep down an LSU offense that found something last week, but couldn’t consistently throw well against the good defenses.
Yeah, Joe Burrow threw for 249 yards against Auburn, but he only hit 15-of-35 throws, and completed just 11-of-24 against Miami. However …
One Reason Why LSU Will Win
Maybe the LSU offense turned a corner.
Burrow did throw those 249 yards against Auburn, and he was sharp against Ole Miss last week. He’s never going to be Aaron Rodgers, but he has yet to throw a pick. Against that nasty Florida defense, as long as he’s not making big mistakes, he’ll be doing his job.
Florida might be third in the nation in turnover margin and fifth in takeaways, but LSU is eighth in the country in TO margin and leads the SEC in fewest turnovers lost, giving it up just three times.
The Gator offense isn’t going to explode. It’s not going to put up 30 points on the board and make LSU press – Burrow isn’t going to have to take any chances.
What’s Going To Happen
Yeah, Georgia might be the star of the East – with Kentucky not far behind – and Alabama might be the superstar of the West, but this is the game to see which team might be the real player in its respective division.
Neither team will run all that well, and both defenses will make this a good, tough battle … again.
The last four battles have been thrillers – all were decided by a seven points or fewer – and the last six games have been relatively close after the 41-11 LSU win in 2011.
This will be close, too.
Home field hasn’t meant anything in the last few games between these two, but it will this week. It’ll come down to the final moments, and coming off the tough win at Mississippi State, Florida will muck it up again with another low-scoring win.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Florida 23, LSU 20
Line: LSU -2.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
Must See Rating: 4
5: First Man
1: ESPN’s Monday Night Football broadcast