Kentucky vs. Missouri fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 27
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
Network: SEC Network
Kentucky (6-1) vs. Missouri (4-3) Game Preview
One Reason Why Kentucky Will Win
No, really. How is Kentucky getting this done?
There’s no passing game, the offense is the second-worst in the SEC, and there are way too many penalties. However, the defense has been a rock, it’s not allowing a thing on the ground, and it’s getting just enough out of the ground attack for it all to work.
In a conference with Alabama, LSU, Florida and Georgia, when you’re No. 1 in the league in scoring defense, you’re doing something right.
The Wildcats generate a good enough pass rush, but mostly they’re just stingy all the time. They don’t give up a slew of big plays, they tackle well, and they’re able to get off them field in a hurry.
UK doesn’t necessarily control the clock all that well, but it does an amazing job of stay in control of games thanks to Benny Snell, who ran for 117 yards and two scores in last year’s 40-34 win.
One Reason Why Missouri Will Win
Mizzou has a big problem with teams that can throw the ball well. Quarterbacks are crushing the Tigers, who are giving up an SEC-worst 287 yards per game.
There’s little pass rush, and there are way too many big plays happening down the field, and now …
There’s no need to worry about that.
UK QB Terry Wilson has yet to throw for more than 151 yards against an FBS team, and last week, he completed just 3-of-9 throws for 18 yards and a touchdown.
Of course, everyone knows this, and everyone loads up to stop Snell and the running game, and it doesn’t matter. Even so, the Missouri defensive front has been solid against the run, giving up 200 yards for the first time all season last week against Memphis. Overall, the Tigers have been solid against everyone – including Georgia and Alabama – trying to grind it out.
On the other side, Mizzou QB Drew Lock pulled up out of his nosedive. Of course he was going to struggle against Alabama and Georgia, but he looked the part again last week, completing 23-of-29 passes for 350 yards and four scores against Memphis.
Kentucky – as good as it’s been – hasn’t faced a slew of big-time passers. Texas A&M’s Kellen Mond is okay, and South Carolina’s Jake Bentley is fine.
UK secondary, meet Mr. Lock.
What’s Going To Happen
And here’s where the fun ends.
Over the last two weeks, Kentucky has been hit by passing games with Texas A&M throwing for 226 yards and Vanderbilt averaging well over nine yards per pass last week.
Lock will have a decent enough day to get by, the Missouri secondary will get a break, and while Snell will get his 100 yards, it won’t be enough.
As tight as the Kentucky D has been, it’s going to get down early, the Wildcats will have to try to come back and it won’t have the pop. It won’t be a thing of beauty, but the Tigers will change up the SEC East race getting the key win at home.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Missouri 26, Kentucky 20
Line: Missouri -7, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
Must See Rating: 3.5
5: Simpson’s Treehouse of Horror
1: It’s The Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown