Kansas State vs. Baylor fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Kansas State (2-3) vs. Baylor (3-2) Game Preview
One Reason Why Kansas State Will Win
The Kansas State defense hasn’t been all that bad.
The offense has been the issue, but that D – at least against the run – got ripped up by Mississippi State, and that’s been it. It hasn’t allowed a touchdown over the last three games, and it hasn’t let anyone but MSU hit four yards per carry.
The Baylor running game hasn’t been anything fabulous – it’s going to have to win through the air. The Bear O line has been way too leaky – this is the time for K-State to finally get the pass rush going.
Baylor’s D doesn’t come up with takeaways, and it doesn’t do much against the run. The Wildcats have to pound away, and they have to take a few chances, because …
One Reason Why Baylor Will Win
This Kansas State offense really, really isn’t working.
Against the three decent teams on the schedule – Mississippi State, West Virginia, and Texas – the Wildcats have scored a grand total of 30 points. They need the running game to work, and in those three games, it didn’t.
K-State has yet to average four yards per carry against the FBS teams, and the passing attack has been way, way too erratic. The offensive line isn’t doing much of anything in pass protection, there’s little to no deep ball pop, and it’s been a fight to control the clock and move the chains.
On the flip side, Baylor leads the Big 12 in time of possession, and unlike Kansas State’s offense, the passing game works.
QB Charlie Brewer hit Oklahoma for 400 yards and two scores in the loss. He hasn’t thrown a pick since the opener against Abilene Christian, and he’s not likely to give up any easy chances for the Wildcat offense to capitalize on.
What’s Going To Happen
Kansas State is better than it’s playing. At least, it should be much better than this.
The competition might have been rough so far, but at home, there should’ve been something positive against Mississippi State and Texas. On the road, the Wildcats will be playing someone more their own size, and the offense will finally start to work, but it won’t be enough.
K-State won’t have the pass rush to bother Brewer, but it will have a bit of a ground game of its own to keep this close. It’ll be a good battle, but Baylor will come through at home, thanks to an offense that will control the clock in key moments.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Baylor 34, Kansas State 27
Line: Baylor -5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Must See Rating: 2.5
5: First Man
1: ESPN’s Monday Night Football broadcast