Georgia vs. Kentucky fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, November 3
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Georgia (7-1) vs. Kentucky (7-1) Game Preview
One Reason Why Georgia Will Win
Keep the foot on the gas pedal.
The gameplan seems simple. Load up to stop Benny Snell, get up early, force Kentucky to win with the passing game. But the problem is that this Wildcat team has a way of slowing the game down to a dead stop, hanging around until late, and then finding ways to come through.
It almost worked for UK at Texas A&M – at least the game got pushed into overtime – and it did work last week at Missouri. But Georgia is more complete and better than those two.
This secondary isn’t going to melt down in the final moments if it gets close. It’s possible to throw on the Dawgs, but that’s just not Kentucky. Don’t be fooled by the 267 yards from Terry Wilson against the Tigers – that was hardly indicative of the game he had up until desperation mode.
The defense needs to load up on Snell and take its chances that Wilson will win the game, and the offense needs to score whenever it has the chance. Offenses tend to bog down in a mystifying way against this Cat defense on long drives – it’s why UK is No. 1 in the SEC in red zone defense.
Georgia will move the ball, and it needs to put the biscuit in the basket.
Just score, and keep scoring.
One Reason Why Kentucky Will Win
Score points when given the chance, stop Benny Snell, and force the passing game to win … wow, why didn’t someone else think of that?
Everyone knows how to beat Kentucky. It’s just a question of executing against a team that knows what it is and knows how to do what it does very, very well.
You know who else has a great defense, mediocre passing game, and needs to control games to win?
LSU, and it pitched a defensive gem in the 36-16 win over the Dawgs a few weeks ago, and it pounded aways for 275 yards and three scores.
It’s possible to run on the Georgia defense as long as the offense isn’t moving the chains and controlling the clock. Kentucky will run the ball at least 40 times, and even though Texas A&M and Missouri have been able to stop the ground game over the last few weeks, the games were still tight late.
Defensively, the Kentucky run defense has been an absolute killer, allowing fewer than 100 yards in three of the last five games and only giving up more than 130 yards once – the loss to Texas A&M.
Georgia couldn’t run against LSU, and it lost.
Jake Fromm might be fantastic, but it could be just as simple as that. If the Dawgs run for 130, they win. If they don’t, UK’s mystical Jedi mind tricks will kick in, and they’ll lose.
Kentucky gives up an average of 109 yards per game on the ground.
What’s Going To Happen
This isn’t going to be the total wipeout Georgia fans might like, but it’ll be a slow, methodical game that’s a fight to get through.
Fromm won’t be fantastic, and the defense will take a big hit early in front of the jacked up, energized big blue crowd, but the Georgia defense will keep this close until the Dawg O hits on one big play to break it open.
Fromm’s overall numbers won’t be great, but he’ll go 3-for-3 on the one early fourth quarter SEC East-winning drive the team needs, and the Cats won’t be able to respond.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Georgia 23, Kentucky 14
Line: Georgia -9.5, o/u: 43.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
Must See Rating: 5
5: Midterm election coverage next Tuesday night
1: Maryland press conference