Alabama vs. Missouri fearless prediction and game preview.
Date: Saturday, October 13
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Missouri (3-2) vs. Alabama (6-0) Game Preview
One Reason Why Missouri Will Win
Okay, Drew Lock. Go turn it loose and play like a future NFL starter.
He’s been off over the last few weeks, failing to hit half of his passes in losses to Georgia and South Carolina, but he’s got the talent, he’s got the skills, and he’s got the players around him to get this thing going again.
Mizzou’s offensive line is giving him time to operate, and there’s been a good running game to take the pressure off, but this week, he has to be the best quarterback on the field – even with No. 13 on the other side.
Arkansas was able to keep pushing a little bit last week with 233 passing yards and three touchdowns. The game was ten miles out of reach by them, but the Crimson Tide secondary is hittable – Louisville’s Jawon Pass and Texas A&M’s Kellen Mond put up decent numbers, too.
The Mizzou defensive front is just strong enough to hold up against the Bama ground game, but ..
One Reason Why Alabama Will Win
The Tigers aren’t generating enough of a pass rush. They don’t come up with any consistent pressure, directly contributing to the problems for a secondary that’s getting hammered.
It’s not just the massive 572-yard day Purdue’s David Blough came up with, the Georgia quarterbacks came up with a slew of big plays, and worst of all, South Carolina backup Michael Scarnecchia threw for 249 yards and three scores last week.
You know what Tua Tagovailoa will do.
He’ll get time to work, he’ll get time for his receivers to get free, and he’ll hit 11-of-13 passes for 239 yards and three touchdowns in the first half, because that’s what he does.
Obviously he’s been amazing, but his receivers have done their part in all of this, too.
You want the truly insane aspect of the Alabama passing game? The top four Crimson Tide receivers in yards are all averaging over 20 yards per catch, and that doesn’t include DeVonta Smith, who’s averaging over 18 yards per grab.
What’s Going To Happen
For all of the great things Alabama is doing, Nick Saban hasn’t been all that happy with a defense that’s allowing a few too many leaky points.
None of them have mattered so far, but the 31 points allowed to Arkansas last week were the most given up by a Crimson Tide defense in a regular season game since beating Ole Miss in a 48-43 firefight early in the 2016 season – 28 regular season games ago.
You want an even crazier fun stat? The 31 allowed to the Hogs were the most given up in the regular season to anyone other than Ole Miss since beating Auburn 55-44 late in 2014.
Long ramble short, the Alabama defense is about to show up.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Alabama 48, Missouri 19
Line: Alabama 28, o/u: 75
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Must See Rating: 3
5: Bad Times at the El Royale