What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the first weekend of Week 4? Here you go. Enjoy.
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10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 20-21-1
Starting with a few that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy …
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
LINE: South Carolina -2.5, o/u: 54
ATS PICK: South Carolina
If this wasn’t Vanderbilt and this was the same team in, say, Tennessee uniforms, this might be different.
But it is Vanderbilt, and it has lost to South Carolina nine years in a row.
This is a solid Commodore team that’s more than good enough to break the streak, but with two weeks off, and with the Gamecocks much, much stronger than they showed against Georgia, they’ll win.
And you’re worried about the 2.5?
LINE: Michigan State -5.5, o/u: 48
ATS PICK: Michigan State
This is taking the chance on the reboot.
To be kind, Michigan State has been underwhelming. It should’ve lost to Utah State, and it got outplayed and outcoached late in the loss to Arizona State. And now it has to deal with a hot Indiana team that’s finding a way to get the job done.
Oooooh, the Hoosiers beat FIU and Ball State.
Okay, so they also got by a good Virginia team in a downpour, but the run defense is about to be hammered on by a Spartan offensive front that needs to make a statement.
With two weeks to prepare, the MSU coaching staff will have something for that dink-and-dunk IU passing attack.
LINE: Utah State -10.5, o/u: 60
ATS PICK: Air Force
This is all about the 10.5.
That’s a large number for an Air Force team that can run and control games like it can. Even though it just lost to Florida Atlantic on the road two weeks, it was a close 33-27 battle – FAU might just be better than Utah State.
New year, new teams, but the Falcons beat the Aggies last season and have won three straight in the series. What has Utah State done this year? It came close at Michigan State and blow out a miserable New Mexico State team before rolling Tennessee Tech – it’s good.
But 10.5 points better than an okay Air Force? Nope.
LINE: UCF -13.5, o/u: 75
ATS PICK: UCF
Florida Atlantic is still going to be good, and it’s still likely to win the American Athletic conference title.
And yes, UCF still hasn’t played anyone. However, it beat UConn on the road and South Carolina State by a combined score of 94-17.
FAU might be fired up to make a statement, but so far it’s been fine when it’s had a chance against mediocre teams. UCF is not a mediocre team, and on a Friday night in front of a national audience, it’s going to have to deal with a jacked up Knight team that’s looking to make a statement of its own.
This should get into a shootout, but until proven otherwise, you can’t go wrong thinking UCF will win a game over a Group of Five program by two touchdowns.
LINE: Pitt -3.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS PICK: Pitt
What has North Carolina shown over the first two weeks to suggest that its ready to win an ACC game against a desperate team? The suspensions are still in place, there have been two weeks off since the 41-19 loss to East Carolina, and the team just doesn’t have the offense to make much noise if Pitt decides to show up.
Yeah, it’s the first road game of the year for the Panthers, but the 51-6 loss to Penn State was to Penn State – that’s forgivable – and they followed it up by beating Georgia Tech. They’ll win this game, and the 3.5 is nice low target to hit.