What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the first weekend of Week 3? Here you go. Enjoy.
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The hurricane nightmare has changed around this week’s slate of games, and took away several good matchups, but there are still plenty of interesting investment opportunities. It’s Week 3 … here we go.
10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 16-15-1
Starting with a few that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy …
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
LINE: Tennessee-31, o/u: 47.5
ATS PICK: Tennessee
This is more about being against UTEP than it is being for Tennessee.
The Miner team that went winless last year hasn’t gotten any better under new head coach Dana Dimel, losing by 20 at home against Northern Arizona from the FCS, and last week getting rocked by 28 against UNLV.
Now, all you’re asking is for Tennessee to beat the Miners by four more points than UNLV did.
The 31 is a big number, but the Tennessee offense will keep on pushing for a full four quarters, and the defensive side should be able to shut down a Miner O that has the nation’s least-efficient passing game. UTEP will turn it over at least three times to make this a blowout.
9. New Mexico at New Mexico State
LINE: New Mexico -3.5, o/u: 58
ATS PICK: New Mexico
This game defied reason and logic over the last two seasons – with New Mexico State coming up with wins – but this year’s NMSU team can’t score.
Wyoming, Minnesota and Utah State aren’t exactly Alabama defensively, and yet the Aggies have only scored 30 points on the year, they can’t convert third down chances, and the ground game isn’t working at all.
New Mexico lost QB Tevaka Tuoti against Wisconsin, but the offense will still work. The rivalry aspect always matters in this game, but this time around, the Lobos are simply going to be better.
LINE: Oregon -41.5, o/u: 70.5
ATS PICK: San Jose State
This is all about the number.
Of course San Jose State has been awful so far. Of course Oregon’s offense is rolling. Of course the Ducks will win easily.
But it doesn’t take all that much to ruin a 41.5 point spread.
Washington State completely and totally dominated the Spartans last week, and it won 31-0. Oregon destroyed Bowling Green with a crushing scoring flurry, and it won 58-24 – a 34-point win.
Oregon will put up around 50 points, but the Spartans should be able to score a little bit to ruin the gigantic number.
LINE: Arizona State -5.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS PICK: Arizona State
This isn’t the same San Diego State team that rolled Arizona State 30-20 last year in Tempe.
And it’s not the same ASU team now under Herm Edwards.
San Diego State’s offense isn’t working all that well so far. It struggled against Stanford to open things up, and sputtered a bit too much in the 28-14 win over Sacramento State. And now it’ll be without starting quarterback Christian Chapman.
ASU might be coming off the emotional win over Michigan State, and it might have the huge game at Washington to follow, but the pass rush has been incredible, the offensive firepower is there with the great receiving corps, and the team overall is playing well enough and sharp enough to make amends for last year’s gaffe.
LINE: Missouri -6, o/u: 65.5
ATS PICK: Missouri
Yeah, Purdue might be two bad late penalties away from being 2-0 instead of 0-2, but one of those losses was against Eastern Michigan, and the other was against a Northwestern team that might just be a bit punchless.
Missouri’s offense has been sharp from the start, doing an amazing job on third downs, and unlike last year, it’s controlling the clock, keeping it for over 33 minutes a game.
The Purdue defense is having big problems in the secondary – that’s a slight issue when going against a future NFL starting quarterback like Drew Lock.