2018 Week 1 College Football Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice: Saturday

2018 Week 1 College Football Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice: Saturday

Fearless Predictions

2018 Week 1 College Football Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice: Saturday


The final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is. 

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It’s been a good start. We’ve had some laughs, killed some time, and now the fun is over. It’s the first real Saturday of college football. Let’s go …

This is all just for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …

The Florida Atlantic starting 22 can absolutely hang with Oklahoma. But as UCF showed against UConn, great offenses are great offenses are great offenses. Don’t sleep on the Sooners – they’re about to be just as good. The total shot up to 72 – that’s asking a lot – and the line is no up to OU -21. I’m not changing my answer of FAU covering, but I’m not happy about it.
Florida Atlantic vs. Oklahoma Preview

But Week 0 games tune teams up, right? Ask New Mexico State against Minnesota. Bad is bad, and Rice is bad. The Houston-Rice line went up to UH -26. Go ahead and make it 36 if you want to – the Owls aren’t stopping UH QB D’Eriq King.
Houston vs. Rice Preview

I’m awful at math. I memory dumped all things Algebra a long, long time ago, and dropped Calculus for a nice, cushy study hall the moment a college was dumb enough to accept me. I can’t work the math to make Ohio State beat Oregon State by 38.5 points.

Ohio State will come out roaring, but even if it puts up 55 on the board, Oregon State could sneak its way to 17. This isn’t UConn going against UCF. This is a real, live Power Five program that’s about to get annihilated. Just not by 38.5.
Ohio State vs. Oregon State Preview

STOP USING APPALACHIAN STATE’S WIN OVER MICHIGAN as a rationale for a possible upset over Penn State. That shocker came in 2007 – that game has no relevance in this.

Penn State is going to win with a strong offensive balance, getting up quickly before struggling to keep the foot on the gas. Be annoyed that a late Mountaineer score covers the 24.
Penn State vs. Appalachian State Preview

Akron has a good defense. The team had the moxie and the toughness to have overcome the lack of talent to get to the MAC title game last year, and it has a slew of the parts back. And it’s about to get the holy Zip kicked out of it by a Adrian Martinez and a Nebraska offense that’s going to look great from the start.
Nebraska vs. Akron Preview

The UMass offense looked fantastic in its light scrimmage of an opener against Duquesne, and it might just be able to put up enough points to cover the 18 against Boston College. The Eagles are the pick, but … yikes. BC is far better than UMass, and it should win by three touchdowns, but just tread lightly here.
Boston College vs. UMass Preview

To go Eminem on in his Twitter announcement of Kamikaze, “tried not 2 overthink this 1 … enjoy.” I’ll leave out the emoji he used. Illinois -16.5 over Kent State. This is when the Illini start to turn things around under Lovie. At least, this is when they start to look better.
Illinois vs. Kent State Preview

I’m a tad bit worried that I’ve got a Big Ten blindspot. I got the Minnesota -21 pick over New Mexico State right, but I’m picking against Wisconsin, Penn State and Ohio State against the spread and going with Illinois and now Rutgers. This is no time to waver. The Scarlet Knights are going to destroy Texas State by more than 16.5 with ease.
Rutgers vs. Texas State Preview

And … I’m on Indiana, too. It’s never a bad idea to go with the Power Five program over the Group of Fiver, even on the road. Don’t get hung up on Wake Forest struggling at Tulane – Indiana will get the offense rolling at FIU and win by more than the 10.5.
Indiana vs. FIU Preview

And … I’m on Maryland, too. I know, I know, I know. It’s totally and completely gross to use a horrific tragedy in any sort of football analysis. Please forgive the belief that the Terps are going to be ultra-motivated and inspired against Texas. They might just win this outright, and now they’re getting an extra 3.5 with the line going up to Texas -13.5.
Maryland vs. Texas Preview

But … I’m not on Iowa, even though it’s at home. Northern Illinois is going to be fantastic, with the talent to potentially take down the MAC title. there’s a reason the line went down from 13 to 10. A few weeks ago it was 9.5, and yes, that half a point should matter. Stay away – this is too much of an ATS toss up.
Iowa vs. Northern Illinois Preview

Troy shouldn’t be giving up double-digit points to any Group of Five team at home. Maybe UCF, but that’s it. Boise State is better than the Trojans, but take the chance that the Sun Belters really did just power up that D again.
Boise State vs. Troy Preview

If you’re investing heavily in any game involving a new Group of Five head coach, you’re flying blind. Louisiana Tech is absolutely better than South Alabama by more than ten points, but … it’s a home game for USA. Sorry to be boring, but be careful with this.
Louisiana Tech vs. South Alabama Preview

Marshall, be as good as you’re supposed to be. The Thundering Herd have the offensive pop to rip past Miami University by two without any sort of a problem, but the RedHawks have an offense, too. If the Conference USA’s MU is the real deal, this isn’t a problem.
Marshall vs. Miami University Preview

Take the over … take the over … take the over … take the over … take the over … take the over … take the over … take the over … North Texas vs. SMU 71 total … take the over … take the over … take the over …

However, this is a total coin flip of a game with the last team with the ball getting the win. Sure, North Texas -4.5 at home, but the game will see 80 points.
SMU vs. Texas Preview

Don’t fall for the movement. The Vanderbilt – Middle Tennessee line went down from Vandy -6.5 to 3. The Commodores are winning this by double-digits. Just say thank you, tip the window, and go get a smoothie.
Middle Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Preview

Does BYU have an offense now? If you’re not taking Arizona -11.5 in its Kevin Sumlin debut, you’re seeing something in the Cougar attack that was never there all of last year. However, the Wildcat O line is a cause for concern – at least, a little bit. It’s possible Arizona’s D looks like Alabama for stretches.
BYU vs. Arizona Preview

Do … not … seek .. the treasure. UTSA had one of the nation’s best statistical defenses last season, we have no clue what’s coming out of the Arizona State tunnel in the Herm Edwards debut, and the line has gone up to ASU -18.5. Assume way under the 53.5, and guess that the Roadrunners keep this from getting out of hand.
UTSA vs. Arizona State Preview

Loving UNLV this year. This is when the program finally turns the corner under Tony Sanchez, it has one of the most entertaining backfields in the Mountain West, and the rebuilding job should pay off in a bowl appearance. But first, the Rebels are going to get their doors blown off by JT Daniels and USC by more than 26.5. More accurately, the Trojan O will be good, and the D will be amazing.
USC vs. UNLV Preview

Liked UCLA when the quarterback situation was up in the air. Still liking UCLA with Wilton Speight under center. Liking the Bruins, even though no one quite knows what type of team is about to show up against Cincinnati. Loving that Chip Kelly is back. The line dropped from UCLA -16.5 to 14.5. You didn’t need the extra help.
UCLA vs. Cincinnati Preview

Kentucky fans are yelling at me for thinking their Cats are a big bag of meh. Central Michigan should be able to keep this from getting out of hand as long as it doesn’t start turning the ball over, but it’ll be a blast for the SEC East if UK comes out roaring.
Kentucky vs. Central Michigan Preview

I hate picking Group of Five programs ATS over SEC programs. I just did it for Kentucky, and I’m about to do it again for the South Carolina-Coastal Carolina game.

Of course the Gamecocks are 29.5 points better than the Chanticleers, but they’re not going to roar in the second half with Georgia coming up next week. They’ll put this away in the first ten minutes and coast.
Coastal Carolina vs. South Carolina Preview

NEXT: Part Two. Tennessee-West Virginia, Michigan-Notre Dame, Louisville-Alabama

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