2018 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis Rankings No. 1 to 130

2018 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis Rankings No. 1 to 130

CFN Rankings

2018 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis Rankings No. 1 to 130

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10. Michigan State Spartans

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 98.522
2017 Ranking:
 9
Biggest Positive:
71% Conference Wins
Biggest Negative:
 6.5 Draft Score
Analysis:
 Give credit to the coaching staff for winning a whole lot of games without a ton of elite NFL talents. The 13 players drafted over the last five years are the fewest among anyone in the top 14 by far. But even with that, and despite a disastrous 3-9 2016 season, the Spartans have still won 46 FBS games and won 71% of their Big Ten games.

Most impressive is the Elite Win Score of 8. Only four teams are higher – Mark Dantonio’s clubs knows how to come up with the big wins in a whole lot of big moments.
Michigan State 2018 Team Preview

9. Georgia Bulldogs

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 100.071
2017 Ranking:
 13
Biggest Positive:
9.27 Attendance Score
Biggest Negative:
 68% Conference Wins
Analysis:
 This is the lowest the Bulldogs will be for a long, long time. Kirby Smart has everything going in the right direction, and now, with a few more wins, look out.

The 44 FBS wins are impressive by most standards, but those are the fewest by anyone in the top ten. The 68% SEC winning percentages is the lowest conference clip by any of the elite teams by a mile, too. Again, that’s all going up.
Georgia 2018 Team Preview

8. Wisconsin Badgers

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 101.883
2017 Ranking:
 16
Biggest Positive:
83% Conference Wins
Biggest Negative:
 2.5 Elite Win Score
Analysis:
 Now, Wisconsin is truly one of the elite of the elite programs.

The 9.91 APR Score is better than Stanford’s, and winning 83% of Big Ten games is better than what Florida State has done in the ACC and Oklahoma has cranked up in the Big 12.

The missing piece is the Elite Win Score of just 2.5 – they’re not winning the really, really massive games to get them over the hump and into the College Football Playoff. That’s the lowest by any of the top 11 teams, as are the 22 Quality Wins. That’s nitpicking – it’s been an outstanding run over the last five years.
Wisconsin 2018 Team Preview

7. USC Trojans

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 103.321
2017 Ranking:
 10
Biggest Positive:
73% Conference Wins
Biggest Negative:
 9.578 APR Score
Analysis:
 USC is slipping? Considering it overcame the NCAA sanctions from the Reggie Bush situation, the last five years haven’t been bad.

Okay, the Trojans aren’t winning national titles, and they have yet to get into the College Football Playoff, but they sent 21 players to the NFL, won 48 games against FBS teams, and won 73% of their Pac-12 battles. But it’s USC. It’s supposed to be doing more.

The APR score is among the lowest of anyone in the 20, and the program is supposed to be winning around 80% of its conference dates. But overall, it’s just outside of the top five. It’s doing just fine.
USC 2018 Team Preview

6. Stanford Cardinal

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 104.631
2017 Ranking:
 5
Biggest Positive:
9.848 APR Score
Biggest Negative:
 4.80 Attendance Score
Analysis:
 The star of the Pac-12 for the last five seasons, David Shaw’s program has managed to win 73% of its conference games, and it sent more players to the NFL than USC, as well as factories like Georgia, Auburn, Notre Dame and Penn State.

The Attendance Score is always going to be a problem – it’s the lowest among the top 14 programs by a mile – but the APR is always great, and the 49 FBS wins are impressive.
Stanford 2018 Team Preview

5. Florida State Seminoles

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 116.796
2017 Ranking:
 4
Biggest Positive:
31 Quality Wins
Biggest Negative:
 9.476 APR Score
Analysis:
 The Seminoles were amazing under Jimbo Fisher, even with last season’s clunker. Even so, with the 2013 BCS Championship not factoring into next year’s rankings, Willie Taggart had better come up with a big 2018, or the Noles are about to drop.

The 30 players sent to the NFL over the last five years are only lower than LSU, Ohio State and Alabama, and only the top three teams can beat FSU’s 31 Quality Wins.

The APR Score is low, the Bad Loss to Georgia Tech in 2015 is keeping it out of the top four, and the 75% ACC winning clip isn’t higher because of last season. But this is still a top five program – for now.
Florida State 2018 Team Preview

4. Oklahoma Sooners

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 118.25
2017 Ranking:
 6
Biggest Positive:
82% Conference Wins
Biggest Negative:
 11 Draft Score
Analysis:
 The star of the Big 12 has won a ridiculous 82% of its conference games over the last five seasons, and it did it with fewer NFL talents than anyone else in the top six. Even so, 22 Sooners getting drafted is hardly bad.

The 27 Quality Wins are lower than anyone in the top five, and the 9.608 APR isn’t anything great, but the Elite Win Score of 10, and being one of five teams to pass the 50 FBS win mark – OU has won 53 – has made life a whole lot of fun lately in Norman.
Oklahoma 2018 Team Preview

3. Clemson Tigers

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 135.899
2017 Ranking:
 3
Biggest Positive:
39 Quality Wins
Biggest Negative:
 3.75 Bad Win Score
Analysis:
 How terrific has the program been under Dabo Swinney over the last five seasons?

The 56 FBS wins are only behind Alabama and Ohio State, only the Crimson Tide have more Quality Wins, and the place has become an NFL factory with 29 Tigers getting drafted. More than that, the 9.834 APR Score is barely behind Stanford and is better than 14 the top 16 programs.

But it’s all about the wins, and they’re coming in bunches, winning 88% of ACC games with ten Elite Wins. The one big thing keeping Clemson from boosting up is the Attendance Score – it can’t match the 100,000 fans stadiums of the top two teams. but everything else is there.
Clemson 2018 Team Preview

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 144. 585
2017 Ranking:
 2
Biggest Positive:
12 Elite Win Score
Biggest Negative:
 2.25 Bad Win Score
Analysis:
 No one has won more over the last five years than the Buckeyes.

The 60 FBS wins top the college football world, the Elite Win Score of 12 is by far the best – only Clemson and Oklahoma were able to hit the 10 mark – and no one has been better in conference play. Urban Meyer’s program has won 93% of the time against Big Ten teams – Bama is the only other program to hit the 90% mark.

Only Alabama can beat the 37 drafted players, and even the 9.746 APR is good. However, the Crimson Tide have sent far more players to the NFL, and they dominate in Quality Wins. Other than that, Ohio State has easily been the second-best program in college football over the last five seasons.
Ohio State 2018 Team Preview

1. Alabama Crimson Tide

Five-Year Program Analysis Score: 153.342
2017 Ranking:
 1
Biggest Positive:
22 Draft Score
Biggest Negative:
 8.5 Elite Win Score
Analysis:
 You were expecting someone else? Nick Saban has the No. 1 program in college football over the last five seasons, and it’s not even close.

It’s not a hard formula. “The Process” tends to work just fine when you send 44 players to the NFL over the last five seasons.

The 10.15 Attendance Score is always great, the 8.5 Elite Win score is strong, and the APR Score of 9.792 is even terrific. However, the real separation comes in the Quality Wins.

45 of the 59 Alabama wins over FBS programs were against teams that finished with a winning record. There just aren’t that many cheap victories, even though everyone likes to rip on the late-season pre-Auburn layup.

The best talent, one of the biggest stadiums, and a whole lot of big wins against great teams. Even for Alabama, it’s been a special run.
Alabama 2018 Team Preview

Team-by-Team Predictions & 2018 Schedules
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
C-USA | Ind | MAC | MWest | Sun Belt

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