Preview 2018: The Westgate SuperBook has released the odds to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy. Where’s the best value?
Preview 2018: Westgate Heisman Odds
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has come out with its first odds to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy – and they’ll change along the way over the next few months. Where’s the good value, and who makes sense on the list?
Before we get started, players not on the board who are great values if you can get The Field from somewhere …
QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson – If he gets the job, he’ll be one of the season’s biggest stories.
QB Justin Fields, Georgia – See Trevor Lawrence.
RB Najee Harris, Alabama – Damien Harris might be the man early on, but Harris might just be the next Derrick Henry.
And now, the early odds on the other top players going into the season.
RB Bryce Love, Stanford 5/1
Why He’ll Win: He’ll be the signature star from the start of the season on a team good enough to get him to 2,000 yards again. Coming back for another year when he could’ve easily have gone off to the NFL, he’ll be a fan and voter favorite.
Why He Won’t Win: There are other options in the backfield – two words: Cameron Scarlett. Two more words: Saquon Barkley. Love might have his sensational moments, but the campaign might be done right out of the gate against San Diego State and USC. The road trip to Washington is an issue.
RB Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin 7/1
Why He’ll Win: All five starters return up front to what should be an NFL-caliber line across the board. The freshman sensation will have his share of big games against top teams to show off.
Why He Won’t Win: If that fumbling issue around the goal line isn’t cured, forget it. Also, since Ron Dayne, if your answer is zero to the number of amazing Badger backs who have won the Heisman, you did it.
QB Jake Fromm, Georgia 10/1
Why He’ll Win: If he’s the steady-hand leading Georgia to a 12-0 season and a shot at the SEC Championship, he’s going to be on everyone’s list. The numbers might not be great, but this will be seen as his offense and his team, unless …
Why He Won’t Win: Justin Fields. Fromm will be the starter, but his numbers won’t be anything amazing, And there’s a chance Mr. Super Recruit is too good in fall camp not to be the guy.
QB Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama 10/1
Why He’ll Win: He’ll probably be the starting quarterback on the No. 1 team in college football. There are just enough high profile games to make a big splash, but not enough nasty games to worry about. As long as he’s the signature star on this team, he’s in the race.
Why He Won’t Win: Don’t bet the farm that Jalen Hurts isn’t the starting quarterback for your 2018 Alabama Crimson Tide against Louisville. Even if Tagovailoa is the starter, the Baker Mayfield-like numbers won’t be there.
QB Justin Herbert, Oregon 14/1
Why He’ll Win: If he can stay in one piece, he’ll put up huge numbers for the Duck attack as he slowly grows into the top quarterback prospect in the 2019 NFL Draft. Most of the big games are at home, but …
Why He Won’t Win: Oregon won’t win the Pac-12 North. He’ll be great, but the combination of #Pac12AfterDark lack of national respect and a team that will be good, not amazing, will keep him out of New York.
QB Khalil Tate, Arizona 14/1
Why He’ll Win: Don’t you want to be Kevin Sumlin’s starting quarterback? Tate is even more dynamic than Johnny Manziel was – at least running the ball – and his passing has apparently become sharper over the offseason. He’ll be a weekly highlight reel.
Why He Won’t Win: He doesn’t have Alabama on the slate like Manziel did. Beating USC would be a big deal, but there aren’t enough national WOW games to get America to tune in. His numbers have to be astronomical.
QB Kelly Bryant, Clemson 20/1
Why He’ll Win: Clemson will be a top two team all season long, and he’ll put up terrific all-purpose numbers as the leader and star of the offense …
Why He Won’t Win: Maybe. The defense will be the star, and the real value for the Heisman is superstar recruit Trevor Lawrence, who might just take over the starting gig right away.
QB Jake Browning, Washington 20/1
Why He’ll Win: Signature star on the Pac-12’s best team. If he’s great in the opener against Auburn and the Huskies win, look out.
Why He Won’t Win: The numbers will be just okay. If UW doesn’t go to the College Football Playoff, forget it.
RB JK Dobbins, Ohio State 20/1
Why He’ll Win: The moments will be there on the big stage when he’ll take over games. He might not be a workhorse, but he’ll be spectacular.
Why He Won’t Win: There are a whole lot of weapons in the Ohio State backfield. He’ll be dynamic, but the numbers might not be sensational.
QB Will Grier, West Virginia 20/1
Why He’ll Win: He’s going to put up massive numbers for a West Virginia offense that should be a fun show each and every week. If he leads the way to a Big 12 Championship appearance, he’ll be close.
Why He Won’t Win: If he doesn’t win the Big 12 Championship, forget it. Oklahoma is still good at this football thing.
QB Trace McSorley, Penn State 20/1
Why He’ll Win: Now this is his Penn State offense. If he leads the way to the Big Ten championship, he’ll get all the credit. With his flair for the dramatic, he’ll have some big moments.
Why He Won’t Win: Penn State won’t win the Big Ten championship.
QB Kyler Murray, Oklahoma 20/1
Why He’ll Win: He gets to run the Oklahoma offense … and he can run, too. He might not be Baker Mayfield, but he’ll be more dynamic on the ground.
Why He Won’t Win: He won’t be Baker Mayfield throwing it. Throw in the 5 million reasons the Oakland A’s have for him, there’s an outside shot he’ll be doing something else.
QB Shea Patterson, Michigan 20/1
Why He’ll Win: The receiving corps will be great and he’ll get his chance to bomb away. If he’s finally Michigan’s answer at quarterback, the love will be there.
Why He Won’t Win: It’s Michigan. It’ll lose to Ohio State and/or Michigan State again. He’s good, but he’s not as good as the Michigan hype.
QB Jarrett Stidham, Auburn 20/1
Why He’ll Win: If he rocks against Washington and Auburn blows up to start the season, the attention will be there. He might not have amazing numbers, but he’ll have plenty of opportunities to grab the Heisman. But …
Why He Won’t Win: November 10 at Georgia. November 24 at Alabama.
RB D’Andre Swift, Georgia 20/1
Why He’ll Win: If he gets all the carries and production Sony Michel and Nick Chubb combined for last season, yeah, he’ll be right there in the mix all season long.
Why He Won’t Win: Jake Fromm/Justin Fields should be the stars of the show, and there are other options to carry the ball, too.
BEST OF THE REST
RB Cam Akers, Florida State 25/1
QB Deondre Francois, Florida State 25/1
QB Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State 25/1
RB Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma 30/1
QB Drew Lock, Missouri 30/1
RB Travis Etienne, Clemson 40/1
QB Nick Fitzgerald, Mississippi State 40/1
RB Damien Harris, Alabama 40/1
RB Myles Gaskin, Washington 50/1
QB McKenzie Milton, UCF 50/1
QB Brandon Wimbush, Notre Dame 50/1
DE Nick Bosa, Ohio State 80/1
QB JT Daniels, USC 80/1
RB Justice Hill, Oklahoma State 80/1
DT Ed Oliver, Houston 80/1
WR J.D. Spielman, Nebraska 80/1
QB Jake Bentley, South Carolina 100/1
WR Stephen Carr, USC 100/1
QB Sam Ehlinger, Texas 100/1
QB Ryan Finley, NC State 100/1
DT Dexter Lawrence, Clemson 100/1
WR Davis Sills, West Virginia 100/1