2018 Pac-12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

2018 Pac-12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

Week 1

2018 Pac-12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?


It’s still early, but the 2018 win totals for the Pac-12 were released. What are they, what are the early predictions, and where’s the value?


2018 Pac-12 Win Totals

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Much like the early Week 1 game predictions, here’s how this annual exercise works. First, the May prediction of what the Pac-12 win totals should be – without looking at where the line is set – and then the real line from the South Point Hotel & Casino will be added.

Where’s the possible value? Where are the lines likely to be off?

Of course, this can and will change by the time this is done for real in August. But for now …

Pac-12 North

Cal Golden Bears

In Year Two of the Justin Wilcox era, the Bears should be much stronger on both sides of the ball. Getting to five wins isn’t going to be a problem, and there will be a few upsets – this should be a seven-to-eight-win team.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 6.5
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 5.5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Oregon Ducks

Once again, Oregon will crank it up against the mediocre teams, and struggle against the good ones. There’s a base of three early wins – Bowling Green, Portland State, San Jose State, but five of the last eight games are on the road.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 6.5
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 8.5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Oregon State Beavers

Where are the wins going to come from? There’s a new coaching staff, but other than Southern Utah, it’s going to be a struggle. Even the other supposed layup – Nevada – is on the road against a dangerous offense.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 2.5
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 2.5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Stanford Cardinal

Stanford will probably be way overloved. Washington State, Oregon State, and UC Davis will be home wins, but everything else on the slate is going to be a battle. Road games at Oregon, Notre Dame, Washington and UCLA are just part of the problem – the Cardinal have to play USC, too.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 7.5
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 8
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Washington Huskies

There’s no USC from the South, the Stanford game is at home, and after starting out against Auburn, there likely won’t be another game when the Huskies aren’t favored. There will be a Pac-12 slip-up along the way, and assume a loss to Auburn thrown into the equation, just to be safe.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 9.5
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 10.5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Washington State Cougars

The system always seems to be good for an extra win or two, but after starting out against Washington, San Jose State and Eastern Washington, it’s going to be tough – even the Oregon State game is on the road. The Cougars have to go to USC and Stanford – that’s a problem.
What The May Win Total Should Be: 6
What The Current Win Total Line Is: 6.5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

NEXT: Pac-12 South

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