2018 Big Ten Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

2018 Big Ten Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

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2018 Big Ten Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?


The 2018 win totals for the Big Ten were released. What are they, what are the early predictions, and where’s the value? 


2018 Big Ten Win Totals

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Much like the early Week 1 game predictions, here’s how this annual exercise works. First, the May prediction of what the Big Ten win totals should be – without looking at where the line is set – and then the real line from the South Point Hotel & Casino will be added.

Where’s the possible value? Where are the lines likely to be off?

Of course, this can and will change by the time this is done for real in August. But for now …

Big Ten East

Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers have enough weapons on offense to be dangerous, but have too many losses on D. It won’t be a total clunker of a season, but outside of a date with Ball State – considering the Rutgers game ins on the road – it’ll be a fight to get to anywhere near six wins.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 4.5
Early Win Total: 5
2017 Record: 5-7
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Maryland Terrapins

Assuming the Terps can keep a quarterback healthy, watch out – this is going to be the type of team that annoys everyone. Think the Big Ten East version of 2016 Iowa State. With home games against Temple, Minnesota, Rutgers and Illinois, there should be at least three wins out of those four, and road games at Bowling Green and Indiana are winnable. This year, there should be a win over one of the league’s better teams, too.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 5.5
Early Win Total: 4.5
2017 Record: 4-8
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan always comes in large when it comes to the win totals – all the Wolverine fans who can’t wait to tell you what school they went to tend to bet big. Considering the hype over QB Shea Patterson, the total might be way higher than it should be. Big Blue will have a problem at Notre Dame, at Michigan State, and at Ohio State, and it has home dates with Wisconsin and Penn State. This is a great team, but it’s a division full of other great teams.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 8.5
Early Win Total: 9
2017 Record: 8-5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Michigan State Spartans

The Spartan offense should be sensational, and the defense has the upside to be one of the Mark Dantonio’s best. As long as there isn’t a slip at Arizona State, there’s a whole lot to like with home games against Michigan and Ohio State, no Wisconsin to deal with from the West, and the trip to Penn State the load conference road date against a team that went bowling.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 9.5
Early Win Total: 9
2017 Record: 10-3
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Ohio State Buckeyes

Dwayne Haskins will be more than fine as the new starting quarterback. The running backs are the best in the Urban Meyer era, the defensive front will be a killer again, and this is still the most talented team in the conference. The early trip to TCU is a problem, and going to Penn State and Michigan State are both deadly enough to assume there won’t be a league sweep. And yes, at some point, Michigan is going to win again in this rivalry.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 10
Early Win Total: 10.5
2017 Record: 12-2
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Penn State Nittany Lions

Watch out for some to discount the Nittany Lions a bit after losing Saquon Barkley – along with a whole bunch of good players on the defensive side. But the talent level has risen under James Franklin, and best of all, the schedule isn’t that bad. The toughest road game? At Michigan. The second toughest? Pitt?! They do have to face Wisconsin, but that’s at home, along with the Ohio State and Michigan State showdowns.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 9
Early Win Total: 9.5
2017 Record: 11-2
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

This is a far, far better and more dangerous team than the one that won just four games last season. With Texas State, at Kansas, Buffalo, Indiana and Illinois on the first half of the schedule, there’s a good chance the Scarlet Knights will beat their 2016 win total by mid-October. The back half of the slate, though, is a monster.
What The Early Win Total Should Be: 5
Early Win Total: 4
2017 Record: 4-8
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

NEXT: Big Ten West

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