2018 Big 12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

2018 Big 12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?

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2018 Big 12 Early Win Totals Released: Where's The Value?


It’s still early, but the 2018 win totals for the  Big 12 were released. What are they, what are the early predictions, and where’s the value?


2018 Big 12 Win Totals

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Much like the early Week 1 game predictions, here’s how this annual exercise works. First, the May prediction of what the Big 12 win totals should be – without looking at where the line is set – and then the real line from the South Point Hotel & Casino will be added.

Where’s the possible value? Where are the lines likely to be off?

Of course, this can and will change by the time this is done for real in August. But for now …

Baylor Bears

The Bears have the experience to be far better after the awful one-win season, but can they get off to a hot start? They should win at least three of the first four games against Abilene Christian, at UTSA, Duke and Kansas – but where are the other wins? It’ll take an upset at home over a Kansas State, or a win over Texas Tech in Arlington to even think about a bowl bid. They should get close. 
What The Early Win Total Should Be:
5
Early Win Total: 6
2017 Record: 1-11
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Iowa State Cyclones

Can the same magic happen again? It’s a stronger Cyclone team in a lot of ways, but it’ll take plenty of work to come anywhere near the eight wins of last year – or with this schedule. Assume wins over South Dakota State and Akron, and with Texas Tech and Baylor at home, along with the Kansas game on the road, there’s the five-win base. There will be at least one more victory, but it’ll take an upset to get to six.
What The Early Win Total Should Be:
6
Early Win Total: 6.5
2017 Record: 8-5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Kansas Jayhawks

In theory, the Jayhawks should finally start to turn a bit of a corner. Head coach David Beaty has a contract extension, the experience is in place, and the program is way, way, way overdue for a little luck. But for a program that hasn’t won more than three games since 2009, it’s still going to be a stretch to hit that mark against this schedule. Nicholls State is a win, and then after that … Rutgers? Probably not. At Central Michigan? That will be a fight. Iowa State at home? Maybe. But the program has to prove it. 
What The Early Win Total Should Be:
2.5
Early Win Total: 3
2017 Record: 1-11
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Kansas State Wildcats

This will probably be an undervalued team considering all the talent returning and with a relatively favorable schedule. The Wildcats will get by South Dakota and UTSA early, and they’ll handle Kansas and Texas Tech at home late, and they’ll be more than good enough to win at least three other games along the way. The team has nine-win potential. 
What The Early Win Total Should Be:
8
Early Win Total: 6
2017 Record: 8-5
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

Oklahoma Sooners

The toughest non-conference game is at home against UCLA, but there should be at least one Big 12 slip along the way. Going to TCU will be an issue, and finishing up the regular season at West Virginia will be dangerous, but the conference as a whole isn’t all that amazing. OU should get to ten wins again – even without Mr. Mayfield.
What The Early Win Total Should Be:
10
Early Win Total: 10
2017 Record: 12-2
Schedule Breakdown & Analysis

NEXT: OSU, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, WVU

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