Check out the TCU vs. Baylor fearless prediction and game preview.
TCU (9-2) vs. Baylor (1-10) Game Preview
Broadcast, TV, Game Time
Date: Friday, November 24
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
It was the first big brouhaha of the College Football Playoff era.
Baylor should’ve been in the first CFP because it was the “One True Champion” of the Big 12. TCU should’ve been in because it overcame the crazy 61-58 loss on the road to the Bears to rolling the rest of the way in a dominant run.
Of course, neither one made it in, and now both programs are in very, very different places.
Baylor is in a total rebuild mode under first year head man Matt Rhule, trying to rebuild from the aftermath of the Art Briles disaster and get the program back to among the conference elite.
TCU is trying to win the Big 12 Championship.
Still a bit on the outside of the puzzle, TCU needs to roll this week, rip through Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, and hope for a little bit of help. But there’s a path to get in, and it starts with a dominant performance.
One Reason Why Baylor Will Win
Can Kenny Hill be back in time after missing the Texas Tech game? The TCU star quarterback suffered a concussion, and he’s still questionable at best.
Freshman Shawn Robinson is a fantastic prospect with the talent and upside to be the next big TCU quarterbacking thing, but he’s not there yet. He led the Horned Frogs with 84 rushing yards against Texas Tech, but he only completed 6-of-17 passes for 85 yards and a score.
There aren’t a whole slew of flaws on the Horned Frogs, but with their iffy quarterback situation, and without leading rusher Darius Anderson – who’s gone for the year – the backfield is scrambling a bit.
Baylor just has to get the offense going early. Make the Horned Frog O press, and try to get this into a shootout of some sort. However …
One Reason Why TCU Will Win
The TCU defense has stepped it up again.
After the problems against the mighty Oklahoma offense, and knowing the offense was going to sputter a bit, the D played a nearly perfect game against Texas Tech, allowing just 153 passing yards and giving up a mere three points on a first quarter field goal.
This is an inconsistent and somewhat stagnant Baylor offense for too many stretches, and it’s not going to start going on too many – if any – long, grinding marches.
Tenth in the nation in both third down conversion percentage on offense and defense, the Horned Frogs are great at owning the chains and controlling the clock.
They’ll win the turnover margin, they’ll outgain the Bears on the ground, and the defense should be able to clean up any messes. Crank up the league’s best pass rush, and Baylor should grind to a stop.
What’s Going To Happen
Baylor will try bombing away to get things going early, but the TCU defensive front will be in the backfield way too often.
The Horned Frogs won’t do anything pretty. They’ll be conservative from the start, win the field position battle, and take advantage of every mistake.
Like the Iowa State loss last week for Baylor QB Charlie Brewer, there will be plenty of short compilations, but not enough to crank out the drives the team needs.
TCU vs. Baylor Prediction
TCU 38, Baylor 13
TCU -24, o/u: 50.5
5: Thanksgiving dessert
1: Thanksgiving dinner … 2
Must See Rating
5: The inside of your eyelids for Thanksgiving nap
1: The Star … 2.5