What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Saturday of Rivalry Week? Here you go. Enjoy.
9-1 last week against the spread? Totally unacceptable, of course.
You demand a ten-team parlay, and I failed.
You can get nine picks right, but miss Mississippi State -12 over Arkansas – final score 28-21 – and you’re a loser.
Of course, these are all just for fun and giggles. So here you go with the ten best picks and predictions against the spread for Rivalry Week.
10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 49-40-1
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
Starting with five that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy …
Rivalry Week: 10 Best Predictions ATS
Line: Oregon -25, o/u: 63
ATS PICK: Oregon State
Here’s the thing about Oregon State. At bad as it is, it doesn’t get royally roasted.
Oregon might be on a roll at home – being Utah by 21 and Arizona by 20 – but the Beavers should be just okay enough in their last game of the season to put a few points on the board in a. rivalry game.
Oregon will win in a walk, but that 25 is just a wee bit too much.
Line: Memphis -28.5, o/u: 79
ATS PICK: East Carolina
Two assumptions to make here. 1) Memphis is going to want to get up early, coast, and get everyone rested for the American Athletic title game against UCF next week with a New Year’s Six bowl game likely on the line. 2) East Carolina is going to bomb, bomb, bomb.
As miserable as the Pirate season has been, the offense can score a little bit. If this was played in mid-October, Memphis would be the easy call. But, again, assuming MU gets up, coasts, and wins easily – just not by 28.5.
Line: Wisconsin -18, o/u: 43
ATS PICK: Wisconsin
It’s all about whether or not Wisconsin royally screws up. Minnesota can’t throw the ball a lick, and now the ground game has to try dealing with a frothing defense that stopped Iowa, Michigan, and everyone else.
The Badgers have turned up their game a few notches over the last few weeks, and Minnesota got shut out by Northwestern.
Line: Air Force -1.5, o/u: 57
ATS PICK: Air Force
Utah State is 105th in the nation against the run allowing 203 yards per game. The Air Force offense isn’t working over a three-game losing streak, but now it gets to go against a tissue paper run D. At home, in the season finale, the Falcons run wild.
Line: BYU -3, o/u: 48.5
ATS PICK: Hawaii
Hawaii. At home. As an underdog.
It’s only a three-point spread, and it’s going to come down to simply who’s going to win the game, but Hawaii is way overdue to open it up a bit.
BYU has won a few games over last few weeks, and Hawaii has been awful on a four-game losing streak, but again, in the final game of the year, go with the home team.
Line: Louisiana Tech -1.5, o/u: 50.5
ATS PICK: Louisiana Tech
Let’s not make this harder than it has to be. UTSA is already bowl eligible, and Louisiana Tech needs this to go bowling. At home the 1.5 doesn’t matter – go with the team that desperately has to have this over a UTSA team with a. mediocre offense.
Line: Utah -10.5, o/u: 57
ATS PICK: Colorado
Both teams are going for a bowl game, which means both teams are going to pull out everything possible to get this done.
Utah might have blown out UCLA at home, but that was different – that was the Josh Rosen-less version of UCLA. Outside of that, the Utes have lost six of their last seven games, with a defense that’s allowing 30 points or more in four of the last five.
The Utes should win, but that 10.5 against this Colorado offense is way too fat.
Line: Ohio State -12.5, o/u: 50
ATS PICK: Ohio State
Let’s just assume the Iowa version of Ohio State doesn’t get on the bus.
How, exactly, is Michigan going to score 12.5 points with John O’Korn at quarterback?
Let’s just assume that the Buckeye offensive line comes out firing, the quick-hitting passes connect early on, and once the excitement of the start of the rivalry game starts to fizzle away, everything settles in for an Ohio State team going for style points.
Line: Louisville -10, o/u: 68
ATS PICK: Kentucky
So, Kentucky is the underdog. At home. Getting ten points.
Louisville is red hot – destroying Virginia and Syracuse over the last two weeks – and Lamar Jackson is Lamar Jackson, but you’re really going to give-up double-digits in a rivalry game like this?
Again … okay. Thanks.
Line: Washington -10, o/u: 48
ATS PICK: Washington State
That’s just a lot of points to be giving away to a team that might just be better.
Washington State’s defense has had two weeks off to rest up. Washington hasn’t been all that great in key moments this season.
Washington State needs to win this to go to the Pac-12 Championship. Washington is playing for pride and to screw up its rival.
The Husky defense has the talent, but it hasn’t exactly been a brick wall lately, allowing 30 points in each of its last two games.
Again, the time off matters here – the Cougars should be ready to at least cover that 10.