10 Best Over/Under Point Total Predictions: Week 12
What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks for point totals and over/unders going into Week 12? Here you go. Enjoy.
The breakthrough is coming.
Last week was a strange one overall across the college football landscape, but once again, it was another 5-5 week.
Those were all warmups for what’s coming. You’ve been patient as you wait for a dominant week. Here you go.
Top Over/Under Picks So Far: 40-40
Please click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
Line: Ohio State -41, o/u: 53
This is all about the belief that Ohio State really wants to make a huge splash in the College Football Playoff chase – it wants to look the part in case it wins out. The Buckeyes hit Rutgers with 56, Maryland with 62, Nebraska for 56, and last week hammered Michigan State with 48 points.
Of course, there’s a concern that Illinois won’t do anything, but these Buckeyes might handle the 53 by themselves.
Line: Boise State -17.5, o/u: 57
Blow off the 59-52 Boise State win over Colorado State – the defense has been stopping just about everyone. Before that, the Broncos held the previous five teams to 14 points or fewer. Considering Air Force has scored 14 points in the last two weeks, and with the Broncos needing to win this, the Falcon O is in for a long, long day.
Before last week, the previous five Boise State games went under 57.
Line: Stanford -16, o/u: 55.5
Stanford games just aren’t fun shootouts. The Cardinal offense doesn’t have the firepower, and if Bryce Love is hobbled in any way as the game goes on, forget about it. The last five games have all gone under 55 points, and while Cal’s games tend to be shootouts, expect these two to keep it relatively low.
Line: Penn State -26, o/u: 57.5
This has gone up a bit over the last few days, but still expect Penn State’s offense to come out roaring in the home finale. The Nittany Lions should be good for at least 35 of the points on their own, but they should crank up 40 or more against a Nebraska D that’s allowed 54 points or more in two of the last four games.
With Tanner Lee expected to go, the Huskers should be able to hang up at least 20 points, expect Penn State to take care of the rest.
Line: New Mexico -2.5, o/u: 56
The New Mexico offense can’t score. The Lobos have managed 14 points or fewer in four of the last five games, and only put up 24 in the one other game vs. Colorado State.
And UNLV? The last three games have all gone under 56. This isn’t going to be a shootout.
Line: Michigan State -16, o/u: 43
Michigan State’s offense has more pop than it might appear. It might seem scary after putting up just three points against Ohio State, but the passing game shouldn’t have a problem against a Maryland defense that’s allowed 31 points or more in each of the last six games.
All ten Maryland games this season have blown past 43 points by ten miles.
Line: Arkansas State -26.5, o/u: 57
So, you’re scared off by the 19-point performance by Arkansas State in the loss last week to South Alabama? Don’t be. The Red Wolves scored 37 or more in six of the last seven games and won’t have a problem rolling at will on a miserable Bobcat D that’s allowed 44 points or more in four of the last seven games.
Line: Memphis -12.5, o/u: 72.5
Welcome to your shootout of the week. Both teams bomb away, neither team plays a whole lot of pass defense against decent offenses, and each one will flirt with the 40-point mark.
Memphis has scored 41 or more in four of its last five games, and SMU should be able to hang up at least 30 points on its own. It might take a little bit, but the two will get there midway through the third.
Line: Utah State -11, o/u: 56.5
These offense seem like they should be doing more, but they’re not. Four of the last five Utah State games have gone under the 56-point mark, with an O that’s only scored more than 24 points once in those five.
Hawaii’s offense isn’t working all that well, either, only scored more than 23 points once in the last eight games – against San Jose State. On the road, it’s going to struggle to put more than 20 points.
Line: Washington -17.5, o/u: 46.5
It’s being assumed that the Washington offense will struggle a bit against Utah at home.
The Huskies have scored 37 points or more in seven of the last nine games and every time in Seattle. The defense might be good enough to slow down the Utah O to a dead stop, but it’ll still give up at least a few touchdowns.
The Utes are able to slow down once in a while, but their four Pac-12 road games have obliterated the 46.5 mark. The total might be at least ten points light.