10 Best Over/Under Point Total Predictions: Week 11
What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks for point totals and over/unders going into Week 11? Here you go. Enjoy.
On a very special Blossom, watch as one conference gets all the love this week.
Time to shake up the malaise. Treading water at .500 isn’t okay around here. It’s time to blast through it all and start to push the number the right way.
And that’s where your Conference USA comes in.
There appears to be a few interesting off totals this week in, arguably, the most unpredictable league this season.
So join me on the journey, won’t you?
Top Over/Under Picks So Far: 35-35
Please click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
Five more that look too spicy to ignore.
– NC State vs. Boston College 52 OVER
– USC vs. Colorado 62.5 OVER
– Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State 62 UNDER
– Florida vs. South Carolina 45.5 UNDER
– Alabama vs. Miss State 50.5 UNDER
Line: Texas A&M -18, o/u: 51.5
The Texas A&M offense might not be rocking and rolling lately, but this is the week to get things going against a mediocre Lobo defense. The Aggies who’ll be good for at least 35 points of the total, and it should be in the 40s. Yes, the New Mexico offense has been a disaster lately – scoring ten points or fewer in three of the last four games – but it’ll get at least 14 points.
Line: Syracuse -1, o/u: 66
It’ll be tempting to think this will be a shootout between two hot quarterbacks – and Wake Forest has ripped past the 66 point total in the last few weeks – but the Syracuse defense should be able to slow things down.
The Orange have scored 27 points or fewer in each of their last six games with no game going over 66 this year.
Line: Kansas State -2.5, o/u: 62.5
You’re never going to be crazy thinking a Big 12 game might go over. Kansas State can’t stop a decent passing game – Will Grier and the Mountaineers will go off. At the very least, they should blow past 30 points, and Kansas State will do its part. The Wildcats have scored 30 points or more in five of their last six games.
Line: Florida Atlantic -4.5, o/u: 70.5
That’s a MASSIVE number to hit for a Louisiana Tech offense that can’t score more than 27 points. The times it came up with more? Northwestern State, South Alabama and Rice – they’re not scoring in the 30s.
The FAU offense might be rolling, but no Louisiana Tech game in the last seven has hit 71. At home, it’ll keep the Owl D from going crazy.
6. UConn at UCF
Line: UCF -40.5, o/u: 63.5
I know, I know, I know, it didn’t work last week. But you can’t go wrong by assuming the UCF might take care of any number all by itself.
UConn might be without starting QB Bryant Shirreffs. but the defense is going to have a hard time keeping down the UCF offense that should be able to crank up at least 50 points. The Knights have hit a half-century mark four times on the year, and the defense has allowed 21 points or more in each of the last five games.
Line: Southern Miss -10, o/u: 49
49 just isn’t all that much, especially considering the Owl defense allowed 42 or more in four of the last five games. This is all about the Rice offense that scores 12 points or fewer in six of its first seven games before starting to get things going, However, the USM defense is solid, and the offense has scored a grand total of 22 points over the last two weeks.
Line: North Texas -22.5, o/u: 56
Admittedly, this is a wee bit dangerous conserving the North Texas offense is the best in Conference USA and has no qualms about hanging more than 40 on the board. So why is this going under?
UTEP offense, UTEP offense, UTEP offense.
The Miners have scored 14 points or fewer in ever game but the 35-21 loss to Army and the 63-16 loss to Arizona. If this is the week the Miner O breaks out, tip your cap and move on.
Line: FIU -9.5, o/u: 48
Old Dominion beat Charlotte 6-0 last week. That would be slightly under any total.
The Monarch offense is miserable and might not score against the FIU defense that’s among Conference USA’s best. The FIU D has allowed 10 points or fewer in four of the last seven games, and the offense has scored more than 23 points twice.
Line: Arizona -22, o/u: 71.5
How many of Arizona’s games have gone past 71.5 points? Seven of the nine and all of them since Khalil Tate took over the reigns.
Oregon State might play a little bit of defense, but at home just start with Arizona at 45 points and work from there. The Beaver games have hardly been high-scoring shootouts, but expect at least 25 points.
Line: UTSA -7.5, o/u: 51
UTSA’s defense has been too good. Granted, it’s a little skewed with the last three games against offensively-challeged FIU, UTEP and Rice teams, but the Roadrunners have now allowed 17 points or fewer in six of their eight games.
The UAB offense has gone off lately, though. It put up 52 last week on Rice, but against this UTSA D on the road, expect around 20 points or so. The Blazer defense is just good enough to keep the Roadrunner O from putting up more than 30.