TCU vs. Iowa State Fearless Prediction & Game Preview
Check out the TCU vs. Iowa State fearless prediction and game preview.
TCU (7-0) vs. Iowa State (5-2) Game Preview
Broadcast, TV, Game Time
Date: Saturday, October 28th
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Really, Iowa State is deep in the hunt for the Big 12 title.
There’s still plenty of work to do with three of the final four games on the road, but the Cyclones have proved that they’re good enough to beat anyone in the conference no matter where they play.
The offense has cranked it up against everyone but Texas, the defense shut down the high-powered Texas Tech attack, and now, if they can hand TCU its first loss of the season, it’ll really be time to get excited about the possibilities.
And TCU yawns.
The Horned Frogs are calmly and cooly rolling through the season with no drama, no issues, and a 7-0 start with good wins over SMU, Oklahoma State and West Virginia along the way.
They seem to have an answer to every issue, and outside of a decent finish against the Mountaineers, they’ve made this all look relatively easy.
And they’ve had few problems with the Cyclones over the history of the series, going 7-1 including a 2005 Houston Bowl victory, and a 55-3 stomping in 2014 that appeared to be good enough to get them into the College Football Playoff.
But now, with a trip to Ames, they might be taken out of their comfort zone.
One Reason Why TCU Will Win
How is TCU doing this? Why is it unbeaten and playing like the best team in the Big 12? It’s always keeping things moving.
The run defense is fantastic, the pass rush is the best in the conference, and very quietly – considering the amazing offenses it’s dealt with so far – everything is fine for a D that leads the Big 12.
Allowing just 21 yards to Kansas will help the stat.
No, the key is the team’s efficiency on third downs. The Horned Frogs are converting over 59% of their chances – they’re never letting opponents get control of games.
How good is this? Wisconsin is converting 55% of its chances, no one else is converting at better than 52% of third down tries, and only seven teams are above the 50% mark.
Iowa State is dead last in the Big 12 in stopping teams on third down.
One Reason Why Iowa State Will Win
The Cyclones are making up for their deficiencies by taking the ball away.
Texas Tech was able to keep things moving – again, Iowa State is bad at stopping on third downs – but it also turned the ball over three times.
They lost the turnover battle against Iowa and against Texas. Those were the two losses. They were on the plus side in the five other games. Those were the five wins.
For an offense that has talent, but doesn’t quite have the skill of the better teams in the Big 12, taking the ball away is a huge key to making this all work.
TCU is excellent when it comes to balancing out the mistakes, but it was only on the plus side three times this year. Iowa State has to come up with big plays, and it has to make TCU screw up.
What’s Going To Happen
TCU won’t screw up.
This is a rock-solid team that won’t give Iowa State the breaks it needs to pull off the upset.
The Horned Frogs will dominate the clock, they’ll keep the chains moving, and Iowa State will have to force things to try keeping pace. The Cyclones will never seem to have any control of the game.
TCU vs. Iowa State Prediction
TCU 34, Iowa State 23
TCU -6.5, o/u: 48.5
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