Week 8 College Football Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice
The final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is.
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Week 8 Final Thoughts & Investment Advice
You just knew last week was going to be weird and the seemingly light schedule was going to be interesting.
And with all the crazy upsets, I can never remember a weekend when I was so wrong on so many big games and big picks, and so right against the spread.
And why? It’s the middle of the season, everyone is banged up, and there were some big-time double-digit home dogs that seemed like a rock to cover.
But this week seems really, really hard. There are more even games. More 50/50 calls. More tight-looking battles.
So I’ll do my best to navigate you through all these rough waters, while recovering from the injured shoulder suffered patting myself on the back for predicting Memphis to win outright and Arkansas State to cover.
This is all just for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …
Yeah, alright, UAB. I’m liking you, I’m not liking Charlotte at all, so yeah. You go right ahead and be a 7.5 favorite on the road. We’re cool.
Three evil things are causing all the chaos and problems in the world right now: The Chainsmokers, cilantro, and picking seven-point-or-fewer favorites to win but not cover. I’m getting way too cute picking Army to beat Temple by fewer than 5.5. | Temple vs. Army Preview
Let me put it this way, part one … against East Carolina, if this isn’t the week BYU finally starts scoring, it needs to stop wasting everyone’s time and find something better to do. | ECU vs. BYU Preview
Now we get to see how good Purdue really is. It’s one thing to hang around a Wisconsin, or beat a Minnesota, but if you can ball, Boilers, you rimrock and Rickroll Rutgers. | Purdue vs. Rutgers Preview
Pitt might be that nothing-to-lose team that annoys everyone over the second half of the season. I would’ve liked Duke at 7; don’t like at 8. | Pitt vs. Duke Preview
It’s as if they’re daring you with Syracuse getting 17. I know, I know, if it seems too good to be true … but Miami is two plays away from being one of the season’s biggest disappointments, and the Orange can throw really, really well. | Syracuse vs. Miami Preview
Money don’t care where money came from. There’s nothing not sexy about winning – Central Michigan -2.5 at Ball State. GO. There’s a chance the Cardinals might be the worst team in the MAC at the moment … really, GO.
Georgia Tech hosting Wake Forest is tricky. The Demon Deacons are fantastic at getting into the backfield and the Yellow Jackets might have problems getting the O going. Georgia Tech -8 when it opened? Nah. Now down to 5.5 in a low scoring game, yup, and if you can get 5, hellz yup. | GT vs. Wake Forest Preview
Appalachian State is absolutely three-plus touchdowns better than Coastal Carolina, but it’s not playing like it. The Mountaineers haven’t been remotely close to beating an FBS team by 23.5 all year.
As Penn State people like to point out oh-so-politely, I’ve been awful at picking the Nittany Lions against the spread – but I did get the Iowa game right. Penn State wins, but take the outside chance that 1) it doesn’t, 2) Michigan comes in to this with a nasty attitude, and 3) 9.5 is too many to give away to this D. | PSU vs. Michigan Preview
Wisconsin is just weird. It can’t put together a full sixty minutes of football, but Maryland’s offense will have a nightmare of a time doing anything right. There won’t be any Terp ground game. | UW vs. Maryland Preview
Has North Carolina shown you anything this year to make you think it can stay within three touchdowns of Virginia Tech? Nope … take North Carolina and the three touchdowns vs. Virginia Tech. Because I said so, that’s why. | UNC vs. VT Preview
Oh, nice try, Boston College, but I’m not falling for that. Loved you at 7, Virginia, marrying you now that you’re at 5.5 | BC vs. UVa Preview
Wyoming can’t run or score + revenge factor + Boise State D that appears to have found itself again = massive blowout on the blue turf. | Boise State vs. UW Preview
Sometimes you don’t ask questions and go with it. Of course, nothing that happened in previous years matters now, but for some bizarre reason, Kansas always, always, always gives TCU fits. It doesn’t make any sense, but when you seen the wave of absurdity coming, ride it. | TCU vs. Kansas Preview
Rice has scored a grand total of 39 points in the five other games other than the 31-14 win over UTEP. The Rice-UTSA 53 point total might be ridiculously high considering the Owls will probably score ten points.
I BELIEVE … (you respond) “I believe” … I BELIEVE …“I believe” … I BELIEVE UMASS WILL WIN, I BELIEVE UMASS WILL WIN. Finally. | UMass vs. Georgia Southern Preview
Again, I know this isn’t how you’re supposed to do it, but until UCF shows even the slightest sign of not obliterating teams by a bajillion, what are you doing worrying about the seven it’s giving to Navy? | UCF vs. Navy Preview
Let me put it this way, part two … Missouri had better beat Idaho by 14 at home. I originally predicted Mizzou by 14 when the line was 15.5. Do with that what you will. | Missouri vs. Idaho Preview
I know I’m missing something basic, but Kentucky might beat Mississippi State outright, much less cover the 12. | UK vs. MSU Preview
The USF defense hasn’t been a brick wall, but it will be when it stops the Green Wave. The Bulls will dominate Tulane in a game with three passing yards between them. | USF vs. Tulane Preview
Really, you have UNLV figured out? The Rebels need to win a 50/50 game at home at some point, so I’m taking them over Utah State. That’s a total fricking guess. | UNLV vs. Utah State Preview
UCLA will give up a bajillion rushing yards to Oregon, Oregon will give up a bajillion passing yards to UCLA. I’m scared, though, that the Justin Herbert-less Duck offense lost its mojo. | Oregon vs. UCLA Preview
Last week, Cal dealt with the ultimate passing team, and it spent Friday night sitting on Luke Falk’s head. This week, it’s dealing with the hottest rushing quarterback in the country. I’ve got a big Khalil Tate thing going right now, even on the road. | Arizona vs. Cal Preview
Enough of your hoo-ha, Minnesota. Enough energy, enough vibes, enough sayings, and enough promotion. Beat Illinois very, very, very badly and show us all that you’re pretty good. | Minnesota vs. Illinois Preview
I was asked on a national radio appearance if Butch Jones saves his job if Tennessee beats Alabama. As a 35.5-point underdog?! File that in the Uhhhhh, You Think? category. But you can’t win if you can’t score, son. | UT vs. Bama Preview
No idea why, but I can NOT seem to get Texas right. And even when I do, it’s for the wrong reasons. So I’m getting out and going with the Oklahoma State passing game that needs to get a whole lot more love and attention. | OSU vs. Texas Preview
West Virginia is good, Baylor isn’t. Take the Mountaineers, take the points, take the cannoli. | WVU vs. Baylor Preview
No reason whatsoever to take Arkansas +15.5 over Auburn, except that it’s a desperation home game for the Hogs, it’s the SEC, and Auburn might not be quite as good as we all thought. | Auburn vs. Arkansas Preview
It’s quite possible that FSU and Louisville both stink. In a revenge game at home, the Seminole defense will keep Lamar Jackson from being too Lamar Jacksoney. The seven might be a breeze. | FSU vs. UofL Preview
Whatever you want to think about the Sun Belt, the opposite is going to happen. Close your eyes … ULM … on the road … getting points vs. a South Alabama team that just stoned Troy. Don’t ask.
The two week off factor will matter in a big way for Notre Dame. Totally blown off this year is how the Irish rolled through a strong Michigan State defense, and now it’s going to be statement time.
It’s Sam Darnold. You know the mistakes are coming, and the Irish will capitalize on all of them. | Notre Dame vs. USC Preview
18-to-22-year-old kids seem to bounce back better than I think they will, but still, Oklahoma just played a brutal battle with Texas. The Sooners will beat Kansas State, but they’re not going to roll. | OU vs. KSU Preview
It would be so, SO Ed Orgeron to go out there after that Auburn win and lose to Ole Miss. It won’t happen – the Tiger D appears to have hit its stride. | LSU vs. Ole Miss Preview
USC vs. Notre Dame and Michigan vs. Penn State are the true Prove It games of the weekend. On a lower scale is Iowa State at Texas Tech. Expect a firefight, expect both teams to play well, and expect a solid Red Raider win. This will come down to the passing games, and Coach Handsome’s is better. | TT vs. ISU Preview
And go ahead and throw Utah vs. Arizona State on the Prove It pile, too. If this was in Tempe, I’m taking ASU. It’s not. The Utes win, but the ten is way, way too high. | Utah vs. ASU Preview
In the Can I Get A Hug? Bowl, Washington State cranks the machine back up and shows the world – and its coach – how pathetic it isn’t. Colorado simply isn’t playing well enough to win in Pullman. | Colorado vs. Wazzu Preview
Don’t automatically assume San Diego State is going to bounce back and trounce Fresno State. I wish I was enough of a man to take Fresno State outright – or even cover – but I’ll stick with the first belief that the Aztecs will focus in a home game for the West it has to win. | SDSU vs. FSU Preview
And Finally, To Finish With A Flourish, And An Upset …
I seem to like this Southern Miss team more than everyone else does, and I know Louisiana Tech has had two weeks off since the inexplicable loss to UAB. Gut feeling – USM will be a Conference USA star over the back half.