CFP Five Thoughts: 4. Can A Two-Loss Auburn Get In?

CFP Five Thoughts: 4. Can A Two-Loss Auburn Get In?

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CFP Five Thoughts: 4. Can A Two-Loss Auburn Get In?

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CFP Five Thoughts: 4. Can A Two-Loss Auburn Get Into The College Football Playoff?


No two-loss team has made it into the College Football Playoff. Here’s how Auburn might be able to do it.



5 Thoughts: CFP Edition

1. CFP Criteria & What We’ve Learned
2. The Current CFP Pecking Order
3. Is Wisconsin Any Good?
5. Experts Pick The First CFP Top 4
Jim McElwain Fired: 5 Possible Florida Replacements
– College Football Playoff Tuesday Night Projection
Week 9 Roundup

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It’s never happened before. No two-loss team has cracked the College Football Playoff code.

Penn State should’ve and could’ve done it last year, and arguments could’ve been made for a few teams that go to their respective conference championships with two losses and a juggernaut to face, but this would be different.

What’s the formula for a two-loss team to get in?

Those two losses can’t be all that bad, the big wins have to be there to overcome the record, and there would have to be a whole lot of help.

If there are four other obvious choices – like an unbeaten Wisconsin, and unbeaten Miami, a one-loss Big 12 champ and a one-loss Clemson – then forget it.

But consider how this has the potential to shake out for the Tigers if everything goes right.

First, the losses. 14-6 at Clemson is hardly a problem in terms of respect, and the 27-23 loss to LSU was on the road wasn’t all that bad considering the Tigers – the other ones – caught fire in a fantastic SEC showdown to the finish.

But those are still two losses. For this to work, LSU has to keep on winning and keep on playing well, and it would help if Clemson won the ACC title.

And that leads to step two: the big wins.

Considering Mississippi State has played so well at times, the 49-10 blasting of the Bulldogs stands out. But now comes the fun with a road game at Texas A&M up next, and then Georgia, and after ULM, Alabama.

The Tigers get the Bulldogs and Crimson Tide in their house. If they’re able to somehow rise up and pull it off, then it’s on to Atlanta with – almost certainly – another shot at Georgia. Win that game twice, and Bama, and A&M, and cowbell, and all of a sudden, this would be seen as the hottest team going at the end of the season.

The CFP committee cares about who’s playing well late.

But it would still take some help.

The Pac-12 champ will almost certainly have two losses – at least that would be the hope – and the Big 12 champ would need two losses, too.

If all of this happens, Notre Dame becomes irrelevant after Auburn beat Georgia twice. That eliminates two of the five Power Five champs and the Irish.

With this road to go, Auburn, it’s now up to you to make this interesting.

Win out, and you’ll have everyone screaming and yelling that you deserve to get into the fun.

5 Thoughts: CFP Edition

1. CFP Criteria & What We’ve Learned
2. The Current CFP Pecking Order
3. Is Wisconsin Any Good?
5. Experts Pick The First CFP Top 4
Jim McElwain Fired: 5 Possible Florida Replacements
– College Football Playoff Tuesday Night Projection
Week 9 Roundup

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