10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 8
What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 8? Here you go. Enjoy.
Minimize the damage.
I have no idea how it happened considering I absolutely crushed the Expert Picks last week, went 8-2 in the over/unders, and was dominant overall on the site – TOTALLY squirrel-finds-nut with some picks considering it felt like I got everything wrong straight up – but I went a pedestrian 5-5 choosing the top ATS picks.
I apologize to my family, my maker, and my country for such mediocrity. But if you’re going to have a bad week, at least keep it at .500.
THESE picks, though, are right.
Of course, these are all just for fun and giggles. So here you go with the ten best picks and predictions against the spread for Week 8.
10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 24-16
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
Starting with five that didn’t quite make the cut, but are still spicy (by the way, went 4-1 on these picks last week) …
Week 8: 10 Best Predictions ATS
10. TCU at Kansas
Line: TCU -39, o/u: 59.5
ATS PICK: TCU
It makes absolutely no sense. TCU is the best team in the Big 12, Kansas is by far the worst – this should be a blowout of epic proportions.
But even though TCU is 5-0 all-time against the Jayhawks, for whatever reason, every single one of those games were relatively close.
Last year, TCU survived in a 24-23 fight that should’ve gone the other way. In 2015, TCU won 23-17, and in the juggernaut 12-1 Horned Frog 2014 season, it was a battle to survive 34-30.
Sometimes, ignore all logic and reason and go with history.
Line: UAB -7.5, o/u: 52
ATS PICK: UAB
Okay, okay, so UAB hasn’t won a game over an FBS team by more than a touchdown, and it seems strange to think it should be a road favorite against anyone, but it’s playing well and Charlotte can’t score.
The 49ers have scored 14 points or fewer in five of the seven games, and lost five of the six games against FBS teams by 11 points or more.
Line: WKU -7, o/u: 49
ATS PICK: WKU
Did the Western Kentucky passing game find itself again? It rolled up over 500 yards last week against Charlotte, and now it’s hosting a dog of an Old Dominion team that over the last three weeks was shut out by Virginia Tech and was stuffed by Marshall 35-3.
If Florida Atlantic can hang 58 on the Monarchs, WKU shouldn’t have a problem.
Over the last four games, ODU lost all four and wasn’t closer than 30 in any of them.
7. Navy at UCF
Line: UCF -7.5, o/u: 65.5
ATS PICK: UCF
Navy has been terrific so far in a 5-1 start and only losing to a strong Memphis team by three on the road. But until UCF shows anything less than total dominance, keep diving in.
The Knights destroyed that Memphis team 40-13 as part of a five-game run winning all five by an average of 33.8 points. Don’t mess with a streak.
Line: Miami -17.5, o/u: 59
ATS PICK: Syracuse
Miami might have ripped through Duke, and it beat Toledo by 22, but what kind of shape is the team in after the emotional fight to get by Florida State and spending 60 minutes getting cut-blocked in the miraculous win over Georgia Tech?
Syracuse showed it could survive and thrive when the other team’s pass rush is in a lather – Clemson had no problems getting behind the line. Miami will get in the backfield, and the Orange passing game will keep on working to keep this relatively close.
Line: Purdue -9.5, o/u: 46.5
ATS PICK: Purdue
This is a pick out of spite.
I whiffed on last week’s No. 1 pick, thinking Illinois would finally be okay at college football and dominate a bad Rutgers team at home.
Nope. 35-24 Scarlet Knights.
Yeah, Rutgers played Nebraska relatively tough, and the running game formula worked against the Illini, but I’m angry.
Purdue’s offense will score early on the road, the Scarlet Knights will have to press, and the Fighting Brohms will bounce back from the Wisconsin loss to roll Rutgers.
Line: Northwestern -1, o/u: 47
ATS PICK: Iowa
This is simple: Iowa is better than Northwestern.
The Wildcats might have looked great at Maryland last week, and there’s a chance they go on a second-half roll, but … Iowa is better.
This is a Hawkeye team that lost to Penn State and Michigan State in fights, and now should get the balanced offense going to just win, baby, in Evanston.
Line: West Virginia -9, o/u: 69.5
ATS PICK: West Virginia
Yeah, Baylor is feisty, and yeah, it’s a road game for the Mountaineers, but Will Grier and company also just rolled by Texas Tech by 11 – Baylor isn’t Texas Tech.
This is a good, dangerous West Virginia team that might feel like it’s playing in a trap moment, but this Baylor defense doesn’t have a prayer.
Think Oklahoma State over Baylor 59-16 more than Oklahoma winning 49-41.
Line: Mississippi State -3, o/u: 54.5
ATS PICK: Kentucky
When did Kentucky get 13 points vs. an average SEC team bad?
UK might have struggled to get by Eastern Michigan, and it might have made Missouri look okay, but outside of the Jedi mind meld Florida has on the program, it’s been a solid run so far.
And the Wildcats have had two weeks off.
Mississippi State is better, and it’ll win, but 13 is a lot to give away to a team that’s finding ways to adapt and adjust. However, to be warned, in three home games against Charleston Southern, LSU and BYU, Miss State is 121-17.
Line: Boise State -14, o/u: 44.5
ATS PICK: Boise State
There’s a strong mix of ingredients in this recipe.
It’s a revenge game for Boise State after losing 30-28 last year and missing out on winning the Mountain Division, the Broncos are good, and Wyoming isn’t.
The team has found its gear again after cranking up the defense against San Diego State in a dominant 31-14 road win, and now it gets a Cowboy team that has a mediocre offense that scores somehow, but doesn’t move the ball.
Assume Boise State will come into this angry. Assume the defense will make the trip back from San Diego.