Yeah, I picked New Mexico to cover the 16.5 against Boise State. Yeah, I predicted the final score was going to be 27-17 and it was 28-14. But this is a case of being wrong, even when I was right.
Could a third-string quarterback on a team that can’t throw the ball a lick really look like Tom Brady in the final minute for a miraculous cover? Everyone likes to cry about bad beats, but no one ever points out that the breaks always even out over time.
And no, I’m not getting puffy-chested over getting one Thursday night pick correct. I’m the doorknob who started both Andy Dalton and Jen-Ho Tseng in fantasy leagues.
With all that said, everything below is spot on for the Friday night threesome of games.
This is all just for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …
There are certain teams you keep picking to lose – I have a USC blind spot at the moment – and then, eventually, you’ll be right. I will keep picking UMass to never, ever win, and I will always be right.
The Minutemen just don’t know how to win. I keep saying this every week, but they have an offense, they have a good coach, and they even have a decent defense by horrible college football team standards. But this program just doesn’t win.
However, Temple has managed to score just 16 points in each of its first two games. In the opener, 16 weren’t nearly enough to beat Notre Dame. Last week, 16 were just enough to slip by Villanova.
Even if this doesn’t work, logically, you’re insane to think that this Owl team will all of a sudden be more than 15 points better than anyone. It’s not going to beat UMass 17-1.
If you really want to take the over of 53 between two teams that score less than the guy who’s going to spend his Friday night watching this game, be my guest. | UMass vs. Temple Preview
Oh, wait. I’m probably going to be watching UMass vs. Temple. Crap.
USF will be the emotional play. Everyone will be rooting for the Bulls because of the circumstances, and there’s sure to be an adrenalized part of the puzzle against Illinois. That will last about two drives.
It’s sort of been dismissed because Illinois football remains totally irrelevant, but the team is still coached by Lovie Smith. In terms of pure coaching talent, he’s probably better than just about everyone but a handful of legends currently in the college game.
It’s Lovie Smith. Eventually, this Illinois defense was going to work. It shut down WKU to a dead stop, and it’s been fantastic so far at stopping the run from all sides. USF hasn’t exactly come out roaring in games so far.
Not to put tragedy into the football mix, but yeah, that’s part of the recipe. The time off and the nightmare the school and region have gone through have to take a toll.
That’s the way too long-winded way of saying Illinois will cover the 17, if not win outright.
Look, Arizona. I know you have problems. I know this isn’t quite working out like you planned. I know the offense hasn’t kicked in, and the loss to Houston was a rough one.
But honey, if you don’t blow past the 23-point spread against a UTEP team whose awful run defense is only surpassed in misery by the worse rushing offense, then the 2017 college football season just isn’t for you.
UTEP losing to Oklahoma 56-7 was no big deal. UTEP losing to Rice at home by 17 is a big deal considering the offense averages just 198 yards per game. Again, Arizona, to get on you about this, you should be good enough with this RichRod offense to find a way to gain 198 yards on your opening possession. | Arizona vs. UTEP Preview
And Finally …
I’m not sold on these, but if I have to …
I’ll go with the over of 58.5 in the Arizona vs. UTEP game. At some point this whole Wildcat offense thing is going to work.
56 seems like a slightly large number for Illinois vs. USF, mainly because the Bulls struggled so much to get going against San Jose State and sputtered against Stony Brook. If I was more of a man, I’d just flat call it Illinois 23-20, but I’m not, so I won’t.