2017 Week 1 Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice: Thursday
The final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is.
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Week 1 Final Thoughts & Investment Advice: Thursday
Seriously, let’s get this weekend going before Florida is unable to field a full team.
The soft opening of the college football season last Saturday wasn’t without its charm, but it didn’t feel quite right with just five games and no marquee matchups. It didn’t help that Mayweather-McGregor sucked up all of the day’s sports oxygen.
These Thursday games seem a bit out of place, too.
Buffalo vs. Minnesota? Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State? FIU vs. UCF?
Yeah, those feel like normal, restaurant-quality openers for a weekday night, but Ohio State vs. Indiana should be played on a crisp October afternoon.
Time to get over it.
The No. 2 team in the country is taking the main stage in Bloomington at the same time a slew of FCS vs. FBS niche acts are doing their thing around the park. Meanwhile, Tulsa-Oklahoma State will be in the midst of its wild and crazy shootout set over at the EDM area.
It’s finally the start of college football’s palooza weekend.
It’s time to go to work.
This is all just for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …
Of course you got in at Michigan -3.5, because you know what you’re doing. Of course you did.
FIU isn’t necessarily playing UCF, it’s really playing Florida Atlantic – who gets Navy to start the season – in terms of what needs to happen for the region. Butch Davis will be compared to Lane Kiffin all season long in a race to see who can get there faster.
It’ll be Kiffin, but Butch and his Golden Panthers have the upside to come up with a good defensive performance against a UCF squad that still has to prove it can beat a good team under Scott Frost.
Just because I think UCF will pull away late doesn’t mean I have to like it. Games between teams where everyone knows each other are always a problem. | UCF vs. FIU Game Preview
There’s no truth to the rumor that as I wrote that, three more Gators were suspended.
Tonight is full of a whole lot of games only a college football junkie could love. Out of the 15, nine of them are FCS vs. FBS – and most will be miserable annihilations. So which ones should you care about?
It’s not going to happen, but keep an eye on what North Dakota is doing vs. Utah. If seeing the new-look Ute offense and QB Tyler Huntley isn’t enough, the Fighting Hawks are ranked in the FCS top ten and are loaded offensively. It’s not like you can actually watch it – it’s on the Pac-12 Network – but try to follow along. | North Dakota vs. Utah Game Preview
Really? There’s a reason to be worried about a 2-9 FCS team? If you’re Idaho and you don’t play any defense, yeah. The Sacramento State Hornets and Vandals will combine for at least 75 points without breathing hard. | Sacramento State vs. Idaho Game Preview
From 2007 until last year, a 51-23 win in 2013 over UNLV was the only pasting Minnesota put on anyone. During that time were games/losses to USC and No. 2 TCU, but there was also a problem against Oregon State last season. And Eastern Illinois in 2014. And a miserable UNLV team in 2012, and on and on and on.
It might not be high on your radar, but tune in for a few minutes to see 6-7 Buffalo QB Tyree Jackson. Yes, you can tear yourself away from the start of Rhode Island-Central Michigan to do it. | Buffalo vs. Minnesota Game Preview
Shhhhhhhh, I think Florida just named Skyler Mornhinweg the starting quarterback. No … wait … sorry. Two more players were just suspended.
Welcome to the problem with Week 1. We’re all assuming the teams will come out of the gate and be sort of like they were at the end of last season.
Of course that’s not the case, but Tulsa finished last year seventh in the nation in scoring averaging 42.5 points per game, while Oklahoma State averaged 38.6 – combined, that’s over 81 points per game.
And now you’re going to sit there with the unmitigated gall to tell me that these two – I know, Tulsa is rebuilding/reloading a bit – are going to combine for fewer than 69.5 points? Oh you silly, silly person.
You’ll sweat it out, but yeah, Oklahoma State will have eventually have no problem with the -17. | Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State Game Preview
This week’s Pick I’m Wrong On But Making Anyway: ULM +26 vs. Memphis. It doesn’t make a whole lot of sense considering how miserable the Warhawk defense was last season, but just about everyone is back. | ULM vs. Memphis Game Preview
Assuming a bad team is going to be better because of experience is like coming back from a lousy restaurant saying, “the food was awful, but the portions were huge.”
You would be that person who’d stay up until 2:30 am watching New Mexico State vs. Arizona State. But you have DirecTV. Sleep well.
But there are options. There is a way to pay for the Pac-12 Network to get a package of games. It seems like that should come for free with your subscription to The Athletic – or vice versa – but eventually, it’ll be everywhere.
What does it say about my belief in the Arizona State defense that I think the offense could hang 60 on the board against NMSU and still not cover the 23.5?
It doesn’t make any sense, and it seems too high, but just do it anyway to have something constructive to do/think about in the wee hours of Friday morning. The 70.5 between ASU vs. NMSU is large, but the Sun Devils could hit that themselves.
Shhhhhhhh, I think Florida just named Ingle Martin the starting quarterback. No … wait … sorry. 17 more players were just suspended.
Okay, enough teasing you. Ohio State vs. Indiana …
Three words when it comes to this game: scared … to … death.
I can see Indiana coming out inspired and giving the Buckeyes fits in a weird Thursday night August game. 20.5 points are an awful lot to give away on the road in a conference showdown against a jacked up team with a solid defense and offensive playmakers.
I can see Ohio State going Mayweather and not throw a punch for three rounds as it gets the feel of the game. And then, the Sword of Damocles falls and boom … a 24 point third quarter tears this thing wide open.
I can see just about any scenario you want to paint for this, but in the end, I think Ohio State will figure something out and win. But …
I can see Indiana coming up with enough early points to handle the number.
I can see the 56.5 over not being a problem in any way.
I can see Goof Bowyer, Angus Williams, Rammy Ramsdell, Clyde Crabtree, Noah Brindise, Jesse Palmer, and Speedy Walker all rotating in at quarterback against Michigan … and then getting suspended.
AND FINALLY … If you’ve read this far, 1) thank you, 2) you’re sick and twisted – and I love it, 3) you’re probably going to be suspended by Florida, and 4) you want something tasty.
Okay, here it is.
If you’re somehow able to get anyone to take an investment on the Toledo vs. Elon game, I’ve seen a number of Toledo -40.5 thrown out there. That might be 20 points too light.
It’s possible the Rockets could hang up 50 in the first half if they want to, and at the very least, they should put on an entertaining show if you like fireworks.