Baylor (25-7) vs. New Mexico State (28-5) Prediction & Game Preview
NCAA Tournament: Baylor vs. New Mexico State fearless prediction and game preview.
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Date: Friday, March 17
Game Time: 12:40 ET
Venue: Bank of Oklahoma Center, Tulsa, OK
All You Really Need To Know About Baylor
(Big 12) RPI: 11, 3 seed
Rebounds, rebounds, rebounds. The former No. 1 Bears are as good as anyone in the country at attacking the glass, coming up with blocks, and owning the interior on both sides of the ball. They don’t shoot threes, and they don’t force enough mistakes or take the ball away, but they own the inside and get more than their share of second-chance points.
A dicey team for the post-season after struggling down the stretch, the Bears were a bit of a bumslayer after an amazing start. While they beat West Virginia in the regular season finale, get ready for this to be among the most polarizing bracket teams.
All You Really Need To Know About New Mexico State
(WAC) RPI: 59, 14 seed
The WAC champ sputtered and struggled a little in February, but that was after a big 22-2 start. The offense is great on the inside, phenomenal on the boards, and excellent in the defensive interior with good size and decent shooting percentage, but there’s nothing from three and there aren’t enough forced turnovers.
They can’t get into a shootout and they can’t deal with a physical team up front, but they’ll bang. If they get behind, though, they’ll get knocked out quickly.
What’s Going To Happen
There are some matchups in the tournament that are bad deals and bad draws for the big name favorite. This isn’t one of them.
New Mexico State has to play a team that stinks on the boards, and Baylor is among the best rebounding teams in the country. The Bears turn the ball over way too often, but the Aggies don’t force mistakes. Baylor should pull away late without a problem.
Fearless Prediction & Line
Baylor 82, New Mexico State 68
Line: Baylor -12, 0/u: 135
ATS Confidence: 2
5: Leave Vegas richer in body, mind & spirit
1: Leave the sportsbook, get tickets for Menopause The Musical or Puppetry of the Penis