17 For '17: New Head Coach Win Expectations For 2017

17 For '17: New Head Coach Win Expectations For 2017

Teams & Conferences

17 For '17: New Head Coach Win Expectations For 2017

17 Offseason Questions For ’17: No. 9


What are the reasonable expectations for all the new head coaches?


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– Rankings, Analysis & Lookaheads: Teams No. 1 to 130

17 for ’17 Offseason Questions 
17. Sleeper Conference Title Contenders
16. The Big Disappointments Will Be …
15. Key Group of Five & Independent Questions
14. Key Big 12 Questions
13. Key ACC Questions
12. Key SEC Questions
11. Key Pac-12 Questions
10. Key Big Ten Questions

No. 9: New Head Coach Win Expectations

Tom Allen, Indiana

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 2015 defensive coordinator at South Florida – D led the American Athletic Conference. In 2016 after he left, D was 120th in the nation giving up 130 more yards per game.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Get to at least six wins and a bowl game.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Bowl appearances each season, come up with at least one shocking season with a top three finish in the Big Ten East.

Major Applewhite, Houston

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Threw for 473 yards leading Texas to a 2001 Holiday Bowl win over Washington.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Win the American Athletic Conference championship – something Tom Herman couldn’t do last year.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: At least two AAC titles in five years, at least three ten-win seasons.

Brent Brennan, San Jose State

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Wide receivers coach at Oregon State from 2011 to 2016.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Five wins and flirt with a bowl appearance.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: At least one West Division title, and at least three bowl appearances.

Jeff Brohm, Purdue

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 22-5 with two Conference USA championships in the last two seasons.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Five wins, and pushing for a sixth and possible bowl eligibility.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Three bowl appearances, one Big Ten West title.

Geoff Collins, Temple

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 2015 & 2016 Florida defensive coordinator.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Despite Temple winning ten games and the 2016 American Athletic Conference championship, win six games and go bowling.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Build team back up, win at least one American Athletic Conference title, go bowling at least three times.

Butch Davis, Florida International

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 51-20 as the Miami Hurricane head coach from 1995 to 2000. 4-0 in bowls including 2001 Sugar Bowl with 11-1 team. Set foundation for a national champion.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Six wins and a bowl appearance.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Go to a few bowl games, make FIU a Conference USA player, leave program better than he found it as he leaves for bigger gig.

Randy Edsall, Connecticut

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Lead UConn to Fiesta Bowl in 2010. Won two Big East titles.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Five wins. Steady improvement leading to a big 2018.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: At least three bowl appearances, at least one American Athletic Conference championship.

Shawn Elliott, Georgia State

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Did what he could after Steve Spurrier quit on his 2015 South Carolina team. Went 1-5 as the interim head man.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Five wins – a two-win improvement – and flirting with a six-win bowl season.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: At least three bowl appearances, one Sun Belt title.

Luke Fickell, Cincinnati

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Ohio State co-defensive coordinator from 2012 to 2016.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: A big turnaround from a 4-8 season, going at least 8-4 and be in the American Athletic Conference East division race.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: At least two East titles, at least one American Athletic Conference title, and a good enough few years to propel Fickell to a bigger gig.

P.J. Fleck, Minnesota

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 13-1 in 2016 with Western Michigan with a MAC title and a Cotton Bowl appearance.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Win at least eight games, be in the Big Ten West title hunt, win a bowl game.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Bowl appearances every year with at least one Big Ten West title. A few wins over Wisconsin – finally.

Tom Herman, Texas

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Went 22-4 in two years at Houston with 2015 Peach Bowl win.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Get to the Big 12 Championship.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Get to the Big 12 Championship in four of the next five years, win at least two of them, get to at least two College Football Playoffs, win at least one national title.

Lane Kiffin, Florida Atlantic

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: USC head coach from 2010 to 2013; Offensive coordinator for 2015 Alabama national championship team.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Make Florida Atlantic three wins better. Get to a bowl game.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Get FAU to two bowl games in the next two seasons, make it a factor in the 2018 C-USA East race, bolt for a Power Five gig.

Tim Lester, Western Michigan

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: One of the top passers in college football history, he threw for over 11,000 career yards with 87 touchdowns.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Repeat as the MAC champion, even in a rebuilding year.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Win two of the next three MAC West titles, win at least one MAC championship, move on.

Jay Norvell, Nevada

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Assistant offensive coordinator at Oklahoma from 2008 to 2014.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Make Nevada interesting with an offense that should throw for a gajillion yards, finish no worse than second in the West Division, get to a bowl game.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Win at least one Mountain West title, become a factor in the race every year.

Matt Rhule, Baylor

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Won 2016 American Athletic Conference championship at Temple. Went 20-7 over the last two seasons.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Rebuild the football program and the reputation, going to a bowl along the way.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Play in at least one Big 12 Championship, go to a bowl every year.

Mike Sanford, WKU

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Notre Dame offensive coordinator in 2015 & 2016.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Win the Conference USA East title again, take the program to the conference title game for a third straight year and a bowl game for a fourth straight season.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Keep the offensive production going, win at least two Conference USA titles, go to a bowl every year he’s the head coach, take a bigger job as soon as possible – potentially Boise State if Bryan Harsin moves on.

Charlie Strong, South Florida

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 23-3 record over final two seasons at Louisville, winning the 2013 Sugar Bowl.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Win the American Athletic Conference championship.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Play for the American Athletic Conference championship every year – or come really, really close. Come up with one run that puts USF in the College Football Playoff discussion.

Willie Taggart, Oregon

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Went 10-2 in 2016 at South Florida.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Win the Pac-12 North title – or finish a close second.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Win at least three Pac-12 North titles, win at least two Pac-12 championships, get to at least one College Football Playoff.

Jeff Tedford, Fresno State

– Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: Won share of 2006 Pac-10 title and Holiday Bowl; Aaron Rodgers.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Make the nation’s ninth-worst offense better. Win at least four games.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Turn it around by 2018, be in the Mountain West title hunt by 2019, go to at least three bowl games, win at least one Mountain West championship.

Justin Wilcox, California

Prespring Lookahead & Rankings

Top Line of the Resumé: 2016 Wisconsin defensive coordinator – the Badgers finished seven in the nation in total D, third against he run, fourth in scoring.

Realistic Expectations In Year One: Be one win better and get to a bowl game with six wins; greatly improve the nation’s fourth-worst defense and second-worst run defense.

Realistic Expectations Over Next Five Years: Get to a bowl game each season, be in the hunt for the Pac-12 North title by 2019.

Schedules: All 130 Teams, Predictions & Scenarios

17 for ’17 Offseason Questions 
17. Sleeper Conference Title Contenders
16. The Big Disappointments Will Be …
15. Key Group of Five & Independent Questions
14. Key Big 12 Questions
13. Key ACC Questions
12. Key SEC Questions
11. Key Pac-12 Questions
10. Key Big Ten Questions

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