17 For '17: Coach Hot Seat Win Total For Every Team

17 For '17: Coach Hot Seat Win Total For Every Team

Teams & Conferences

17 For '17: Coach Hot Seat Win Total For Every Team

17 Offseason Questions For ’17: No. 7


How many games does each coach need to win to not be on a hot seat?


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– CFN Prespring Rankings & Lookaheads No. 1 to 130

17 for ’17 Offseason Questions 
17. Sleeper Conference Title Contenders
16. The Big Disappointments Will Be …
15. Key Group of Five & Independent Questions
14. Key Big 12 Questions
13. Key ACC Questions
12. Key SEC Questions
11. Key Pac-12 Questions
10. Key Big Ten Questions
9. Expectations For Each New Coach
8. Win Totals/Futures For Each Team

Schedules for 130 teams

No. 7: How many wins does each coach need to stay off the hot seat?

Every college football head coach is on a hot seat.

No, really. EVERY college football head coach is on a hot seat.

You want to argue this?

Mark Helfrich went from coaching Oregon to a loss in the College Football Playoff National Title Game to canned two years later.

Had the there been just the slightest of milliseconds left on the clock before LSU got to run its final play last year against Auburn, Gus Malzahn would’ve probably been booted and Les Miles might still be the other Tiger head coach right now.

And you know what’s coming, because this happens every year. The second a big-name head coach loses his first game in September, the hot seat talk will flame up. Lose two before October 1st, and it’s uh-oh time if you’re the main man at a restaurant-quality Power 5 school.

But it’s all relative.

Arkansas’ Bret Bielema and Texas A&M’s Kevin Sumlin have been around long enough that the respective fan bases will probably want something more than just being along for the SEC West ride, so those two likely have to come up with bigger seasons than, say, Mississippi State’s Dan Mullen, who just signed a big contract extension.

A new head coach isn’t going to get fired for any sort of a bad record – it’ll be reasoned away as a “rebuilding” year – but the expectations for something better will certainly come in Year Two.

Will Nick Saban get fired if he goes 9-3? Of course not. Saban will still be around if he goes 0-12, but if Alabama is anything other than 11-1, the Alabama Dynasty Is Over and Saban Has Lost His Magic articles will kick in.

Again, the concept of a hot seat is all relative.

Dabo Swinney won’t get fired no matter what his record is this year, but if Clemson goes 5-7, he’d better rock again in 2018 or risk getting Gene Chiziked.

So where is the bar set at for each coach? Below is the ballpark regular season win total each head man has to hit to either 1) avoid most talk of getting fired, 2) not have to deal with a ton of hooey going into next year, and/or 3) stay off that hot seat. Tenure at the school, schedules, and expectations for this season are all factored in.

For most, just get to a bowl game. Do that, and fans are usually going to be okay, depending on the school, and for some – like a Saban or an Urban Meyer – just hit the six-win mark and everyone will still assume they’ll be in the national title chase the next year.

But if you’re Florida State’s Jimbo Fisher or USC’s Clay Helton this season, you’d better do just a wee bit more.

It’s about the pressure. If the coaches don’t want any more than usual, here’s the number they each have to hit.

ACC: ATLANTIC

– ACC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Steve Addazio, Boston College, 2013: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dabo Swinney, Clemson Tigers, 2008: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Jimbo Fisher, Florida State, 2010: 9

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Bobby Petrino, Louisville Cardinals, 2014: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dave Doreen, NC State Wolfpack, 2013: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dino Babers, Syracuse Orange, 2016: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dave Clawson, Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 2014: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

ACC: COASTAL

– ACC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

David Cutcliffe, Duke Blue Devils, 2008: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 2008: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mark Richt, Miami Hurricanes, 2016: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Larry Fedora, North Carolina Tar Heels, 2012: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Pat Narduzzi, Pitt Panthers: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Bronco Mendenhall, Virginia Cavaliers: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech Hokies: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

AMERICAN ATHLETIC: EAST

American Athletic Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Major Applewhite, Houston Cougars, 2017: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Norvell, Memphis Tigers: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Ken Niumatalolo, Navy Midshipmen, 2007: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Chad Morris, SMU Mustangs, 2015: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Willie Fritz, Tulane Green Wave, 2016: 4

Full Schedule Breakdown

Philip Montgomery, Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 2015: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

AMERICAN ATHLETIC: WEST

American Athletic Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Luke Fickell, Cincinnati Bearcats, 2017: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Randy Edsall, Connecticut Huskies, 2017: 4

Full Schedule Breakdown

Scottie Montgomery, East Carolina Pirates, 2016: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Charlie Strong, South Florida Bulls, 2017: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Geoff Collins, Temple Owls, 2017: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Scott Frost, UCF Knights, 2017: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

BIG TEN EAST

Big Ten Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Tom Allen, Indiana Hoosiers, 2017: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

D.J. Durkin, Maryland Terrapins, 2016: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Jim Harbaugh, Michigan Wolverines, 2015: 9

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mark Dantonio, Michigan State Spartans, 2007: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Urban Meyer, Ohio State Buckeyes, 2012: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

James Franklin, Penn State Nittany Lions, 2014: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Chris Ash, Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 2016: 4

Full Schedule Breakdown

BIG TEN WEST

Big Ten Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Lovie Smith, Illinois Fighting Illini, 2016: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Kirk Ferentz, Iowa Hawkeyes, 1999: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

P.J. Fleck, Minnesota Golden Gophers, 2017: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Riley, Nebraska Cornhuskers, 2015: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern Wildcats, 2008: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Jeff Brohm, Purdue Boilermakers, 2017: 4

Full Schedule Breakdown

Paul Chryst, Wisconsin Badgers: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

BIG 12

Big 12 Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Matt Rhule, Baylor Bears, 2017: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Matt Campbell, Iowa State Cyclones, 2016: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

David Beaty, Kansas Jayhawks, 2015: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Bill Snyder, Kansas State Wildcats, 2009: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Bob Stoops. Oklahoma Sooners, 1999: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State Cowboys, 2005: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Tom Herman, Texas Longhorns, 2017: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Gary Patterson, TCU Horned Frogs, 2000: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech Red Raiders, 2013: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia Mountaineers, 2011: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

CONFERENCE USA: EAST

Conference USA Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Brad Lambert, Charlotte 49ers, 2013: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Lane Kiffin, Florida Atlantic Owls, 2017: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Butch Davis, Florida International Golden Panthers, 2017: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Doc Holliday, Marshall Thundering Herd, 2010: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Rick Stockstill, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 2006: 7

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Bobby Wilder, Old Dominion Monarchs, 2009: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Sanford, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 2017: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

CONFERENCE USA: WEST

Conference USA Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Skip Holtz, Louisiana Tech Bulldog, 2013: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Seth Littrell, North Texas Mean Green, 2016: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

David Bailiff, Rice Owls, 2007: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Jay Hopson, Southern Miss Golden Eagles, 2016: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Bill Clark, UAB Blazers, 2014: 1

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Sean Kugler, UTEP Miners, 2013: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Frank Wilson, UTSA Roadrunners, 2016: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

INDEPENDENTS

Jeff Monken, Army Black Knights, 2014: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Kalani Sitake, BYU Cougars, 2016: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Mark Whipple, Massachusetts Minutemen, 2014: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Brian Kelly, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 2010: 9

– Full Schedule Breakdown

MAC: EAST

MAC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Terry Bowden, Akron Zips, 2012: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Jinks, Bowling Green Falcons, 2016: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Lance Leipold, Buffalo Bulls, 2015: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Paul Haynes, Kent State Golden Flashes, 2013: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Chuck Martin, Miami University RedHawks, 2014: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Frank Solich, Ohio Bobcats, 2005: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

MAC: WEST

MAC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Mike Neu, Ball State Cardinals, 2016: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

John Bonamego, Central Michigan Chippewas, 2015: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Chris Creighton, Eastern Michigan Eagles, 2014: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Rod Carey, Northern Illinois Huskies, 2013: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Jason Candle, Toledo Rockets, 2016: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Tim Lester, Western Michigan Broncos, 2017: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

MOUNTAIN WEST: MOUNTAIN

Mountain West Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Troy Calhoun, Air Force Falcons. 2007: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Bryan Harsin, Boise State Broncos, 2014: 7

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Bobo, Colorado State Rams, 2015: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Bob Davie, New Mexico Lobos, 2012: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Matt Wells, Utah State Aggies, 2013: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Craig Bohl, Wyoming Cowboys, 2014: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

MOUNTAIN WEST: WEST

Mountain West Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Jeff Tedford, Fresno State Bulldogs, 2017: 4

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Nick Rolovich, Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Jay Norvell, Nevada Wolf Pack, 2017: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Rocky Long, San Diego State Aztecs, 2012: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Brent Bennett, San Jose State Spartans, 2017: 3

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Tony Sanchez, UNLV Rebels, 2015: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

PAC-12: NORTH

Pac-12 Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Justin Wilcox, California Golden Bears, 2017: 5

Full Schedule Breakdown

Willie Taggart, Oregon Ducks, 2017: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Gary Andersen, Oregon State Beavers, 2015: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

David Shaw, Stanford Cardinal, 2011: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Chris Petersen, Washington Huskies, 2014: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike Leach, Washington State Cougars, 2012: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

PAC-12: SOUTH

Pac-12 Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Rich Rodriguez, Arizona Wildcats, 2012: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Todd Graham, Arizona State Sun Devils, 2012: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mike MacIntyre, Colorado Buffaloes, 2013: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Jim Mora, Jr., UCLA Bruins, 2012: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Clay Helton, USC Trojans, 2015: 10

Full Schedule Breakdown

Kyle Whittingham, Utah Utes, 2005: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

SEC: EAST

SEC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Jim McElwain, Florida Gators, 2015: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Kirby Smart, Georgia Bulldogs, 2016: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Barry Odom, Missouri Tigers, 2016: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Mark Stoops, Kentucky Wildcats, 2013: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Will Muschamp, South Carolina Gamecocks, 2016: 7

Full Schedule Breakdown

Butch Jones, Tennessee Volunteers, 2013: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Derek Mason, Vanderbilt Commodores, 2014: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

SEC: WEST

SEC Weekly Schedule Analysis, Top Ten Games

Nick Saban, Alabama Crimson Tide, 2007: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Bret Bielema, Arkansas Razorbacks, 2013: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Gus Malzahn, Auburn Tigers, 2013: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Ed Orgeron, LSU Tigers, 2016: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

Hugh Freeze, Ole Miss Rebels, 2012: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Dan Mullen, Mississippi State Bulldogs, 2009: 6

Full Schedule Breakdown

Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M Aggies, 2012: 8

Full Schedule Breakdown

SUN BELT

Scott Satterfield, Appalachian State Mountaineers, 2013: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Blake Anderson, Arkansas State Red Wolves, 2014: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Joe Moglia, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 2012: 2

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Tyson Summers, Georgia Southern Eagles, 2016: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Shawn Elliott, Georgia State Panthers, 2017: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Paul Petrino, Idaho Vandals, 2013: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Mark Hudspeth, Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, 2011: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Doug Martin, New Mexico State Aggies, 2013: 4

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Joey Jones, South Alabama Jaguars, 2009: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Everett Withers, Texas State Bobcats, 2016: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Neal Brown, Troy Trojans, 2015: 6

– Full Schedule Breakdown

Matt Viator, ULM Warhawks, 2016: 5

– Full Schedule Breakdown

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