Week 5 Five Thoughts: 4) Florida State To The College Football Playoff?!

Week 5 Five Thoughts: 4) Florida State To The College Football Playoff?!

Week 5

Week 5 Five Thoughts: 4) Florida State To The College Football Playoff?!

Week 5 Five Thoughts: 4) Florida State To The College Football Playoff?!


Can Florida State still get into the College Football Playoff? Here’s how it could still potentially happen. 



5 Thoughts

Week 5 Roundup: Rankings, Bowl Projections, Analysis
1, Why Ed Orgeron & Butch Jones might not be fired
2. The NFL Draft’s Sam Darnold problem
3. Are Bob Stoops & Chip Kelly ready to come back?
5. Why UCF should be ranked higher than USF

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Florida State needed everything in the bag to beat Wake Forest, and it’s still in the College Football Playoff chase?

It would take a massive miracle, and a whole slew of key issues being fixed over the next few days, but … yup.

Okay, okay, okay. Forget for a moment that the offense can’t convert a third down chance. Forget that the O line hasn’t found a defensive front it didn’t let camp out in the backfield.

Forget that the offense is almost dead last in the nation in first downs, actually is dead last in the average tackles for loss allowed per game, and blow off that the amazing defense loaded with NFL talent has just two takeaways in three games.

Forget everything you know already about your 2017 Florida State Seminoles – this is a philosophical discussion more than anything based in practicality or reality.

What would it take for a two-loss team that started like FSU did this season to still be alive in the College Football Playoff hunt?

To start, how much will the CFP committee forgive a loss to Alabama?

Let’s say the Crimson Tide continues to steamroll their way through the college football season, and maybe FSU gets a free pass for that opening weekend loss in a “… yeah, but it was Alabama” sort of way.

After all, the loss didn’t come to South Alabama.

But what we learned last season was that the CFP doesn’t like two-loss conference champions – blowing off Penn State for an Ohio State team that lost to the Nittany Lions, and for a Washington team whose best win on the season came against Our Lady of Perpetual Sorrow Tech – and FSU has a second loss to NC State.

Fine, but – and again, dealing hypotheticals here – what if FSU beats Miami this weekend?

And then, what if the Noles win at Duke, and then stomp on Louisville in a revenge game after last year’s blowout loss?

After that, let’s say they blow past Boston College and Syracuse, leading up to the date at Clemson.

Let’s assume the O line figures it all out, James Blackman turns into the next great FSU QB, and the defense puts it all together and cranks its production up to a whole other level – that last part could actually happen with the talent on the starting 11.

And then, for purposes of this discussion, FSU beats Clemson in Death Valley, for the Tigers’ only loss of the season..

Of course, to play this out, there’s no problem with Delaware, and then FSU closes out with a win at Florida. It wouldn’t matter much at that point if the Gators were SEC East champs, but it certainly wouldn’t hurt.

Is there a point in all of this?

The College Football Playoff committee doesn’t have any set boundaries when it comes to taking the top four teams. It doesn’t have to take a conference ehamp. It doesn’t have to take anyone it doesn’t want to.

If FSU were to kick it all in, and its resume would include wins over Miami, Louisville, at Clemson, at Florida State, and an ACC Championship over, say, Miami in a rematch, or Virginia Tech, does the Alabama loss become excused?

Would the CFP go with the Hot Team theory, sort of like it did in 2014 when it picked Ohio State for the fourth spot?

Out of all the two-loss teams in college football right now, this is the one that could change the CFP precedent and dynamic – and the talent is there to do it.

Oh, of course, Miami is winning by 17 this weekend …

But what if it doesn’t?

There’s still something to shoot for, Florida State. Go be that team we spent all offseason thinking you’d be and make the College Football Playoff committee argue it out.

5 Thoughts

Week 5 Roundup: Rankings, Bowl Projections, Analysis
1, Why Ed Orgeron & Butch Jones might not be fired
2. The NFL Draft’s Sam Darnold problem
3. Are Bob Stoops & Chip Kelly ready to come back?
5. Why UCF should be ranked higher than USF

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