Five Thoughts: 3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?

Five Thoughts: 3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?

Week 7

Five Thoughts: 3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?

Five Thoughts: 3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?


What could be the new wrench thrown into the College Football Playoff system? What if the SEC’s two biggest stars win out?



5 Thoughts After Week 7

Week 7 Roundup: Rankings, Bowl Projections, Analysis
1. Which One-Loss Teams Are Fine & Which Aren’t?
2. College Football Playoff Wild Card – Notre Dame
3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?
4. Five Big Teams Who Might Not Go Bowling
5. Boise State’s Power Move Over San Diego State

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Yes, I’m dealing in hypotheticals here. But this issue would’ve come up in past SEC seasons.

There are two big things the College Football Playoff committee hasn’t dealt with in the three years of doing this.

One is the massive conference championship upset, with a multi-loss team beating the unbeaten juggernaut. The second is the titanic showdown of two of the season’s powerhouses playing each other in a conference championship.

Auburn has a whole lot to say about this over the second half of the season – since it faces both Georgia and Alabama – and as this week showed, any team can lose to just about anyone at just about any time.

But what if Alabama and Georgia both go 12-0?

There almost certainly won’t be three other unbeaten Power Five conference champions. The only chance of that happening is if Penn State/Wisconsin B1G winner, Miami, and TCU all go unscathed the rest of the way, and that’s not going to happen. But if it did, that would be your CFP – those three and the SEC winner.

To take the hypothetical further, what if at least three non-SEC Power Five conference champions have one loss, and its still unbeaten Bama vs. unbeaten Georgia for the SEC title? Would winning the conference title be enough to overcome the loser of what would be CFP No. 1 Alabama vs. CFP No. 2 Georgia when they meet in Atlanta?

It would’ve been a fun argument in 2009 when 12-0 Florida lost to 12-0 Alabama in the Saban-Made-Tebow-Cry-And-Urban-Sick SEC Championship. That year, Florida was so strong that – despite the loss – it finished third in the BCS and probably would’ve made it into a CFP, along with an unbeaten Texas and an unbeaten TCU.

The same goes for 2008. 12-0, No. 1 Alabama lost to 11-1 Florida in, arguably, the greatest SEC Championship game ever, and finished fourth in the final BCS rankings.

Obviously, there’s still a ton of work to do. Georgia has to deal with a desperate Florida in two weeks, and then South Carolina, and then go to Auburn, and then host Kentucky and Georgia Tech to close things out.

Alabama has to go through the bother of beating Tennessee, then it gets a suddenly-angry LSU, at Mississippi State, Mercer, and then finish up at Auburn.

But the difficult remaining schedules are a positive. If both teams get through them unbeaten, that’s it. As long as there isn’t a total wipeout in the SEC Championship, both teams will probably get in.

And even if there is an acceptable loss along the way. If the 11-1 team beats the 12-0 team in the SEC Championship, the committee would still have an interesting debate to have, considering the ACC, Big 12, and Pac-12 champion will likely be seen as slightly lesser than the SEC title game loser.

There it is for you, Alabama and Georgia. Of course you want to play for the SEC title, and of course you want to win it. But you’re each probably five wins away from getting in the tournament.

Week 7 Roundup: Rankings, Bowl Projections, Analysis
1. Which One-Loss Teams Are Fine & Which Aren’t?
2. College Football Playoff Wild Card – Notre Dame
3. What If Alabama & Georgia Go 12-0?
4. Five Big Teams Who Might Not Go Bowling
5. Boise State’s Power Move Over San Diego State

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