2017 Week 1 College Football Final Thoughts, Predictions & Investment Advice: Friday
The final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is.
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Week 1 Final Thoughts & Investment Advice: Friday
This is why you’re not supposed to play good teams in Week 1.
So you’re a wee bit sluggish out of the gate, Ohio State? College football games are really, really long – eventually talent and speed will win out.
So you had to row the boat through Buffalo mud, Minnesota? As I mentioned yesterday, the Gophers never seem to play well to start the season no matter who the coach is.
So, Arizona State, you didn’t exactly figure out that whole defense thing this offseason and got over 500 hung on you by New Mexico State? Survive and advance.
So, American Athletic Conference, you had your moment when UCF was helped by a FIU team that didn’t dress a secondary, but you had to light a candle and pray as UConn struggled against Rhode Island, Cincinnati sputtered past Austin Peay, and as I predicted yesterday – there’s a point here as I pat myself on the back – Memphis had problems putting away ULM?
With no preseason like the NFL has, you’re going to get weird performances out of teams that should be a whole lot better.
No duh – like you didn’t know that already.
But there’s been a pattern. A 70% pattern.
And because I’m just that sort of tease, you have to scroll to the end of all the other drivel for the great reveal.
This is all just for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …
You know how once in a while a line is right on the money, and someone quips that Vegas is Vegas for a reason and that it’s always right on? No one seems to mention the ridiculous misfires like a 69.5 over/under between Oklahoma State-Tulsa. The two combined for 83.
More on that in a moment.
Really? You think Eastern Michigan is about to do that again? Charlotte might not be anything amazing, but these two teams are a whole lot more even than last year when EMU won 37-19 on the road.
Even after last season, I have a fundamental core issue with Eastern Michigan giving 14 to anyone. | Charlotte vs. Eastern Michigan Game Preview
Rutgers is going to be better. Chris Ash is a good head coach who’s slowly building up the talent base, and he’s starting a solid quarterback in Louisville transfer Kyle Bolin who should be able to handle himself well. It’s not going to happen overnight, but there’s a whole lot to like with the Scarlet Knights.
And Washington is going to beat them like something that’s politically correct to use as an example. | Washington vs. Rutgers Game Preview
The line went from -33 to -27.5 while the over/under stayed around 52.5. There’s a shot Washington hits that on its own. But if you don’t believe it will, don’t assume the Scarlet Knight offense will do enough to get you to the number. This Husky D is still the real deal.
Drawing from the philosophical musings of Butthead, just because one thing sucks, it doesn’t mean that something else doesn’t suck.
Just because FIU looked miserable against UCF, that doesn’t mean Florida Atlantic should be lumped into the same category when it plays Navy.
But I’m going to do it anyway. Lane Kiffin can coach O, but his D is going to be lit on fire by the Navy offense that’ll run wild. | Navy vs. Florida Atlantic Game Preview
Just take Wisconsin and the -27.5. Utah State should be better than it was last season, and Kent Myers is a dangerous quarterback, but the Badger defense is going to be a killer. Again.
I despise unders. Unders mean you don’t think the game will be a whole lot of fun. Unders mean you’re rooting for poor performances as much as for good defense. Unders are for the burger is half eaten types.
But if the gods are going to give you a 52 mark in Wisconsin-Utah State, you have to give it a shot.
I know, I KNOW … I predicted the final score to be 40-13 Wisconsin. I was young. I needed the work. | Wisconsin vs. Utah State Game Preview
There are times when you have to ask yourself, “what did I do to deserve such benevolence?”
You’re not that good a person. You fart in crowded areas and walk away. You tweet out “thoughts and prayers” so you don’t actually have to do anything. You don’t wear socks with rented bowling shoes. And yet, you’re still being handed Boston College -3.5 vs. Northern Illinois.
Sometimes, good things happen to bad people.
I’m breaking something tasteful if my BC Five-Star Sure-Thing Lock of the Century For This Week doesn’t get through with ease, and Northern Illinois goes all Northern Illinoisey and becomes good again at this football thing. | BC vs. NIU Game Preview
Do with this what you will. I called the Colorado State win over Oregon State because I really and truly think the Rams are that good. I’m picking them again to do a Pac-12 twozie with a win over Colorado, mainly because I’ve been on this since April and can’t back off now. However, all the Pac-12 people I know who know stuff are screaming that the Buffs are going to be good again, and maybe could be even stronger offensively.
Getting 3.5 doesn’t really matter. If Colorado wins, it’ll be be more than a field goal. I’m still taking Colorado State outright. That’s just the kind of person I am. | Colorado vs. Colorado State Game Preview
It’s probably because I didn’t think it would happen, but I didn’t mention yesterday that Tennessee State could upset Georgia State. There are only two FCS vs. FBS games tonight, and Central Connecticut will get annihilated by Syracuse. But keep an eye on Fordham against Army. The Rams are FCS loaded with skill talent and just might have the better team. It wouldn’t be an upset.
AND FINALLY … the over/unders.
Of the six FBS vs. FCS games on Thursday, four of them went over with shocking ease. Arizona State-New Mexico State did its darnedest to hit the 70.5 in the final moments, while the one whiff was Minnesota-Buffalo that went way under.
In Week 0, Oregon State and Colorado State nailed it. Stanford did it all by itself, and Hawaii-UMass was a lock. Only USF and San Jose State didn’t go over, meaning the over is 7-3 so far.
Forget what I said about Wisconsin and Utah State. Never mess with a streak and go with the 52.
I sort of hate the 66.5 between Navy and FAU, but why not?
Charlotte and Eastern Michigan at 59.5? Yeeeeeeesh – one of these offenses could tank, and 51 is a big number any time the Boston College defense is playing.
My vote is to stay away from all of it, but if you’re one of those trends guys, I’ve done my job.