2016 AdvoCare V100 Texas, Kansas State vs. Texas A&M Bowl Prediction, Game Preview, History, Scores

2016 AdvoCare V100 Texas, Kansas State vs. Texas A&M Bowl Prediction, Game Preview, History, Scores

Texas A&M

2016 AdvoCare V100 Texas, Kansas State vs. Texas A&M Bowl Prediction, Game Preview, History, Scores

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl Prediction, Texas A&M vs. Kansas State Game Preview, History, Scores


Three reasons why you should watch the AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl between Texas A&M (8-4) vs. Kansas State (8-4), why each team might win, honest thoughts, line and prediction.


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Date: Wednesday, December 28th
Game Time: 9:00 pm
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Network: ESPN

Contact/Follow @PeteFiutak

Scroll down for the video preview and bowl history

The Bowl Matchup Ranking Of Awesomeness (1 best-40 worst): 23 out of 40

Three Reasons Why You Should Watch The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

The old Big 12 team has to play like an SEC team. It’s not what Texas A&M might have liked considering its 6-0 start and No. 4 ranking in the first College Football Playoff rankings, but it’s still a solid bowl game against a dangerous opponent. The Aggies might be cold with three losses in the last four games and four in the last six, but this matters in a big, big way for head coach Kevin Sumlin. He’s not going to get fired, but lose, and 8-5 will look a whole lot different than 9-4.

The old Big 12 coach can still get it done, however … a bowl win would be nice. 77-years-young, Bill Snyder just keeps on cranking out solid team after solid team, but the lack of talent ends up coming to light in the post-season – at least lately – with seven losses in the last eight bowl appearances going back to the 2002 Holiday Bowl win over Arizona State. Unlike Texas A&M, though, Kansas State is on fire coming into Houston, winning five of its last six games with the lone loss a fight against Oklahoma State. Solidly placed as the fourth-best team in the Big 12, it’s been a good year. One more win, and Snyder can make this a great season.

The NFL draft world will spend 60 minutes hold its breath. If Texas A&M DE Myles Garrett isn’t No. 1 on every draft board, he’s not falling out of the top five. The only worry is his health – all he has to do is stay in one piece, and then the spotlight is on Cleveland and whether or not it wants the Aggie star, or a top quarterback. Garrett can’t do anything to up his stock, but enjoy his – most likely – last college game.

Here’s Why Kansas State Will Win The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Kansas State, go be all Kansas Statey. The Wildcats are amazing at grinding out the clock and controlling games. This year’s team is owning the turnover margin, dominating the time of possession, and doing a wonderful job on third down conversions. Texas A&M doesn’t do much to control the clock, and the defense is mediocre on third downs. Once Kansas State gets its grips on a game, it doesn’t let it go. This is happening because …

The running game has been dominant. The Kansas State offensive line has destroyed everyone over the second half of the season. Oklahoma held the Wildcats to 110 yards – K-State got down early and had to get out of its game – but the ground attack has ripped off 230 yards or more in the other seven games over the last eight. The machine became more and more unstoppable as the season went on. Texas A&M’s defense can get shoved around.

The Wildcat D is better than it looks. It’s not fun to try coming up with great defensive stats in the Big 12, but Kansas State’s defense is full of smart, tough veterans who don’t make a slew of big mistakes. The linebacking corps starring Elijah Lee and Charmeachealle Moore – if he can go – get around everything, while the young secondary full of sophomores can pop. Yeah, Myles Garrett is the signature defensive star in the game, but this could be Jordan Willis’s bowl. The K-State senior leads the team with 11.5 sacks as the steady presence in the backfield.

Here’s Why Texas A&M Will Win The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Get up fast. Texas A&M. The Aggies have been relatively even when it comes to the distribution of its points, but the lowest-scoring frame is the first with 93 (105 in the second, 96 in the third, and 114 in the fourth). However, after three quarters it’s been up 294 to 167. The point? Kansas State isn’t a bombs-away, comeback team. Get out to a big lead, and force the Wildcats to open it up a bit. They won’t be able to.

A&M, open it up. As good as the Kansas State defense is, it can be thrown on. It’ll come up with its share of picks – 15 on the year and eight in the last four games – but everyone in the Big 12 but TCU threw for well over 200 yards. Trevor Knight has a knee injury but might give it a go, and Jake Hubenak is a veteran who can throw. This is where the terrific Aggie receiving corps has to shine, and the speed has to come through, especially when it comes to …

Christian Kirk. The Kansas State special teams have been terrific. The return game is among the best in the country, and the punting game has been outstanding – Kirk has to change that. As a punt returner earlier in the year, and a kickoff returner against LSU, and with 77 catches as a top receiver, he’s done it all for the Aggies. Now he has to negate any K-State special teams advantage, while stretching the field for the O.

You’ve Read This Far, So You Get Three Honest Thoughts On The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Jake Hubenak needs this game. Trevor Knight did everything he could this season for the Aggies before getting hurt, and again, he’s expected to try giving it a go, but Hubenak is back next year and could use this game to prepare even more for the starting gig. He’s experienced, but the more live reps – as always – the better, so if Knight can’t play or is struggling, it’s okay.

Okay, Byron Pringle. Keep it going. He was a huge get for Kansas State, but it took a while to get the transfer going. Used more late, he caught 16 passes over the last three games, with 126 yards and a score against TCU. He’s got gamebreaking ability, and he’ll have to come up with a big play here and there just to open things up a bit. A&M will tee off against the run – the opportunities will be there.

Can A&M stop the streak before it gets going again? For a long, long time, Texas A&M was one of the nation’s worst bowl programs, going 2-12 over an ugly span from 1991 to 2011. Four straight bowl wins turned that around, at least until last year’s loss to Louisville that proved to be the unofficial start to the Lamar Jackson Heisman run. Again, this game is a big deal for the Sumlin hot seat perception.

Super. So Who’s Going To Win The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl?

The Kansas State offense will work.

Texas A&M will have its moments of flash, but the Wildcats will blast away with the offensive line on drive after drive as they grind down the clock and keep the Aggie O off the field. There will be moments when the Aggies have their chances, but their running game won’t go and the easy third down opportunities will be a problem.

They might not always be pretty, but the Fighting Snyders will be effective enough to pull this off.

Final Score

Kansas State 31, Texas A&M 28

Line

Texas A&M -2, o/u: 56.5

ATS Confidence: 2
5: Your New Year’s Eve chances to score in your favorite bar
0: Your New Year’s Eve chances to score after covering a College Football Playoff semifinal

Must See Rating: 3
5: New Year’s Eve: Defected In The House, Ministry of Sound, London
0: New Year’s Eve Live with Anderson Cooper and Special Co-Host Kathy Griffin

Get Tickets For The AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

Bowl game info and where to buy tickets

Texas Bowl History, Results

Dec. 29, 2015 LSU 56 Texas Tech 27
Dec. 29, 2014 Arkansas 31 Texas 7
Dec. 27, 2013 Syracuse 21 Minnesota 17
Dec. 28, 2012 Texas Tech 34 Minnesota 31
Dec. 31, 2011 Texas A&M 33 Northwestern 22
Dec. 29, 2010 Illinois 38 Baylor 14
Dec. 31, 2009 Navy 35 Missouri 13
Dec. 30, 2008 Rice 38 Western Michigan 14
Dec. 28, 2007 TCU 20 Houston 13
Dec. 28, 2006 Rutgers 37 Kansas State 10
Dec. 31, 2005 TCU 27 Iowa State 24
Dec. 29, 2004 Colorado 33 UTEP 28
Dec. 30, 2003 Texas Tech 38 Navy 14
Dec. 27, 2002 Oklahoma State 33 Southern Miss 23
Dec. 28, 2001 Texas A&M 28 TCU 9
Dec. 27, 2000 East Carolina 40 Texas Tech 27

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